Polymarket odds for Putin out by Jun 2027 jump to 16% after drone reports
On July 20, 2026, reports said an overnight wave of Ukrainian drones hit Moscow and nearby districts, wounding at least 10 people and sparking fires and evacuations.
Polymarket odds rise to 85% for zero Fed rate cuts in 2026
A macro roundup said Andy Burnham is set to enter Downing Street as the U.K.’s new prime minister as North Sea oil policy debate heats up.
Polymarket odds put BTC above $54K at 99.95% as $64K stays a coin flip
Bitcoin traded flat near $64,200 as oil hit a one-month high on escalating U.S.-Iran strikes, reviving inflation and rate fears that can weigh on risk assets.
Polymarket odds for Hormuz normalization drop to 50.5% after US-Iran strikes
CENTCOM released new video as the US launched additional airstrikes against Iran, as scrutiny grows over how the Strait of Hormuz is monitored during escalating tensions.
Polymarket odds pin Starmer exit before 2027 at 99.85% despite Zelenskyy news
On 2026-07-20, a Politico item spotlighted Volodymyr Zelenskyy, reviving talk of leadership stability and succession risk.
Polymarket odds: Newsom slips to 19.75% after Maine primary dropout
A report says a second Democrat has dropped out of the Maine primary, reshaping the field and adding a new signal on campaign viability.
Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49% for 2028 GOP nod as oil tops $90
Crude prices topped $90 after a report tied the move to escalating Middle East fighting and heightened conflict risk.
Polymarket odds put Lula at 59.5% in Brazil race after 10-point jump
After President Donald Trump’s televised address revived 2020 election claims, a report highlights conflicting answers from Energy Secretary Chris Wright and DNI nominee Jay Clayton, despite audits
Polymarket odds for Hormuz traffic normalizing by year-end slide to 52.5%
U.S. forces struck Iran for a ninth consecutive night, Central Command said, heightening uncertainty around regional shipping and timelines.
Polymarket sees 53.5% odds US halts Iran offensive ops by Aug. 31
The U.S. military confirmed another American service member was killed in the war with Iran, raising the total to 17 as drones and missiles keep escalating after peace talks collapsed.