US Election Prediction Markets
Zelenskiy presses Belarus as Polymarket trims Bardella to 24.5%
For a second day, Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelenskiy urged Belarus to dismantle four alleged relay stations aiding Russian drone strikes, warning Kyiv could act within a week.
Starmer leadership turmoil as Polymarket lifts Lula to 51.5% in Brazil race
Over the weekend, talk inside Labour that Keir Starmer would stay to fight a leadership challenge faded, raising expectations Britain could soon see its seventh prime minister in 10 years.
Burnham by-election jolt as Polymarket keeps Newsom atop 2028 Dem odds
A recent Newscast episode spotlighted Labour’s Andy Burnham winning the Makerfield by-election with nearly 25,000 votes, fueling fresh talk of a possible challenge to Keir Starmer.
Burnham’s by-election win coincides with Lula rising to 51.5% on Polymarket
On Friday in northwest England, Andy Burnham won the Makerfield by-election with nearly 55% of the vote, boosting talk of a Labour leadership challenge to Keir Starmer.
Johor election turns on affordability as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%
Johor’s Jul. 11 state election is being shaped by housing and cost-of-living strains, despite the state’s 6.4% GDP growth in 2024 and record RM110 billion in approved investments this year.
House GOP moves to bar lawmaker prediction bets as Polymarket has Newsom 23.85%
Rep. Bryan Steil plans to add a ban on lawmakers and their families betting on political and policy prediction markets to a pending House stock-trading bill.
UK by-elections open as Polymarket pegs Peru Fujimori 0.2–0.3% at 94%
Thursday’s by-elections opened in two constituencies on Scotland’s east coast, with voters also casting ballots in Makerfield, Greater Manchester, as polling-day rules curb campaign reporting.
.jpg)
South Korea ballot probe as Polymarket puts Lula at 50.5% in Brazil 2026
On June 18, South Korea’s parliament approved a probe into ballot shortages that hit June 3 municipal elections and led to the election commission chief’s resignation.
Scotland by-elections set stage as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%
Scottish voters are choosing MPs today in two east-coast Westminster by-elections after SNP resignations, with results due early Friday.
Starmer warns Burnham as Polymarket prices Shepherd loss at 99.5%
After returning from the G7, Keir Starmer warned Andy Burnham not to rush into a leadership contest as the Makerfield by-election nears, insisting he’ll fight any challenge.