Flash News

1970 vs 1950 Investor Cohorts: S&P 500 10x vs Flat—Data-Backed Trading Lessons and Crypto (BTC) Risk Implications

According to @QCompounding, investors’ formative windows can produce vastly different return experiences, with those born in 1970 seeing the S&P 500 increase nearly tenfold during their teens and 20s while those born in 1950 faced largely flat markets. source: @QCompounding (tweet, Dec 25, 2025); Morgan Housel, The Psychology of Money. The referenced chart from Morgan Housel highlights how regime differences drive realized returns, a key input for traders when setting expected returns and drawdown thresholds. source: Morgan Housel, The Psychology of Money. To avoid cohort bias in strategy design, traders should validate backtests across multiple market regimes and apply experience-neutral risk controls such as rolling window calibration and stress tests. source: Malmendier and Nagel (2011, American Economic Review) on experience effects; Morgan Housel, The Psychology of Money. For crypto allocation, note that cohort-driven risk appetite can spill over to Bitcoin (BTC) because BTC has exhibited elevated positive correlation with equities in recent years, amplifying risk-on/risk-off cycles. source: International Monetary Fund (2022) Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Equities; Bank for International Settlements (2022) research on crypto–equity co-movement. (Source)

More from Compounding Quality 12-25-2025 13:05
OpenAI Codex Usage Limits Increased Until Jan 1: Trading Takeaways for AI and Crypto Markets

According to @gdb, OpenAI is increasing Codex usage limits until Jan 1, confirming a temporary expansion of access for developers. Source: Greg Brockman on X, Dec 25, 2025. The announcement does not disclose changes to pricing, eligible user tiers, or API rate specifics beyond the stated timeframe. Source: Greg Brockman on X, Dec 25, 2025. No direct impact on cryptocurrencies or tokens is stated; the only confirmed detail is the short-term usage increase through Jan 1. Source: Greg Brockman on X, Dec 25, 2025. For event-driven traders, the relevant calendar window is through Jan 1, after which limits are implied to revert based on the phrasing of the announcement. Source: Greg Brockman on X, Dec 25, 2025. (Source)

More from Greg Brockman 12-25-2025 12:51
329.4K LINK ($4.01M) Whale Withdrawal From Binance to New Wallet Tracked by Nansen — On-Chain Alert

According to @OnchainLens, a newly created wallet withdrew 329,400 LINK (about $4.01M) from Binance to address 0xEc7BF1F8D41BaAC2182f37cd128865Cebb96F237, based on Nansen on-chain data (source: @OnchainLens; Nansen). The implied per-token value from the reported totals is roughly $12.17 per LINK at the time of the transfer on Dec 25, 2025 (source: @OnchainLens). (Source)

More from Onchain Lens 12-25-2025 12:43
JD Vance Says Bitcoin (BTC) Is a Strategic U.S. Asset: China Opposition Highlighted, Policy-Shift Signal for Crypto Traders in 2025

According to @simplykashif, U.S. Vice President JD Vance said Bitcoin (BTC) is becoming a strategic asset for the United States over the next decade and argued that the policy shift matters now, not later, source: @simplykashif on X (Dec 25, 2025). According to @simplykashif, he contrasted this position with the People’s Republic of China’s opposition to Bitcoin, suggesting a geopolitical consideration for U.S. decision-makers, source: @simplykashif on X (Dec 25, 2025). For trading relevance, this constitutes a headline from a senior U.S. official regarding BTC’s policy status; traders can track ensuing official statements, regulatory guidance, and legislative calendars for confirmation as potential catalysts for BTC spot flows and U.S.-listed crypto equities, source: @simplykashif on X (Dec 25, 2025). (Source)

More from Kashif Raza 12-25-2025 12:28
2025 Token Launches Slump: Over 80% Now Below Launch Prices, Average -71% Drawdown, Memento Research Finds

According to @simplykashif, Memento research tracked 118 major tokens launched in 2025 and reports that 100 now trade below their launch valuation, meaning over 80% are under water, source: Memento research cited by Kashif Raza on X on Dec 25, 2025. The same source adds that the average token is down about 71% from launch, signaling elevated downside risk for 2025 new listings and IDOs in secondary markets, source: Memento research cited by Kashif Raza on X on Dec 25, 2025. (Source)

More from Kashif Raza 12-25-2025 12:17
Dogecoin (DOGE) 3-Day RSI Flashes Oversold Signal: Trading Insight and Key Technical Context

According to @TATrader_Alan, Dogecoin (DOGE) shows an oversold reading on the 3-day RSI as of Dec 25, 2025, source: @TATrader_Alan. In RSI methodology, readings below 30 are defined as oversold and are used by traders to identify potential momentum reversals on the measured timeframe, source: J. Welles Wilder, New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. (Source)

More from Trader Tardigrade 12-25-2025 12:01
opBNB Volta Cuts Block Time to 500ms; Fourier Mainnet on Jan 7, 2026 Targets 250ms — Games/Social to Default to opBNB, High-Value DeFi on BSC, Impact on BNB

According to @CoinMarketCap, opBNB’s Volta cut block time to 500ms, and the Fourier mainnet is scheduled for January 7, 2026 at 250ms block time. source: CoinMarketCap on X, Dec 25, 2025, https://twitter.com/CoinMarketCap/status/2004160320928190578. The source expects games, social, and micro-transactions to default to opBNB, while higher-value DeFi settles back to BSC when needed. source: CoinMarketCap on X, Dec 25, 2025, https://twitter.com/CoinMarketCap/status/2004160320928190578. For trading, the clear catalyst is January 7, 2026 and the activity split between opBNB and BSC to monitor for liquidity and usage patterns in the BNB ecosystem. source: CoinMarketCap on X, Dec 25, 2025, https://twitter.com/CoinMarketCap/status/2004160320928190578. (Source)

More from CoinMarketCap 12-25-2025 12:00
BNB Price Near $838 as VanEck Files Spot BNB ETF (VBNB): $1,000 Level in Focus on 2026 Roadmap and DEX Demand

According to @CoinMarketCap, BNB traded around $838 at the time of posting and $1,000 is highlighted as a level to watch if the 2026 roadmap ships and DEX demand remains strong; Source: @CoinMarketCap on X, Dec 25, 2025. According to @CoinMarketCap, TradFi participation could increase after VanEck filed for a proposed spot BNB ETF with ticker VBNB, positioning $1,000 as a potential focus level for traders; Source: @CoinMarketCap on X, Dec 25, 2025. According to @CoinMarketCap, traders should monitor roadmap execution, DEX activity, and the progress of the VBNB filing as catalysts that could influence BNB’s approach to the $1,000 level; Source: @CoinMarketCap on X, Dec 25, 2025. (Source)

More from CoinMarketCap 12-25-2025 12:00
BNB Chain Trading Alert: Fermi Jan 14 Delivers 0.45s Blocks and Super Instructions, Fourier Jan 7 Adds opBNB 250ms and App Migrations (BNB)

According to @CoinMarketCap on X (Dec 25, 2025), BNB Chain traders should track two near-term catalysts: Fermi on Jan 14 targeting 0.45-second blocks with Super Instructions, and Fourier on Jan 7 bringing opBNB 250ms latency and app migrations, which are explicitly highlighted as key milestones for network performance and adoption (source: @CoinMarketCap on X, Dec 25, 2025). The same @CoinMarketCap post advises monitoring privacy developments and ETF progress alongside token burns to assess real spot demand and guide positioning around BNB-related flows (source: @CoinMarketCap on X, Dec 25, 2025; link referenced in the post to CoinMarketCap Academy). (Source)

More from CoinMarketCap 12-25-2025 12:00
Tom Lee says banks will look more like tech stocks — @StockMKTNewz highlights comment on Dec 25, 2025

According to @StockMKTNewz, Tom Lee said banks will look more like tech stocks, shared via an X post with a video link on Dec 25, 2025; the post does not include supporting metrics, tickers, or additional context (source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Dec 25, 2025). (Source)

More from Evan 12-25-2025 11:48
BTC, ETH, SEI Face 20-Day MA Breakout Test: Key Resistance vs Expanding Fundamentals, According to @CryptoMichNL

According to @CryptoMichNL, the immediate objective across major crypto assets is a clean break above the 20-day moving average, with Bitcoin (BTC) testing it, Ethereum (ETH) trading near it, and many altcoins such as SEI hovering around it, making this level the key near-term resistance to watch, source: @CryptoMichNL. He adds that while price action looks weak, underlying ecosystems for many assets, including SEI, are expanding significantly, creating a fundamentals-versus-technicals setup for traders to monitor, source: @CryptoMichNL. (Source)

More from Michaël van de Poppe 12-25-2025 11:33
Tron (TRX) On-Chain Perps Volume Soars 176% WoW to $5.77B; Daily Tops $1B for 2 Days Despite Market Downturn

According to @lookonchain, on-chain perpetual futures volume is cooling off during the market downturn except on Tron, where daily perps volume topped $1B for two consecutive days and 7-day perps volume reached $5.77B, up 176% week over week; source: Lookonchain on X, Dec 25, 2025 https://x.com/lookonchain/status/2004153471961075988. These figures show Tron bucking the broader on-chain perps slowdown observed by Lookonchain; source: Lookonchain on X, Dec 25, 2025 https://x.com/lookonchain/status/2004153471961075988. (Source)

More from Lookonchain 12-25-2025 11:33
CoinGlass 2025 Crypto Derivatives Report: DAT Firms’ BTC Holdings Rose From ~600,000 With Near-Monotonic Uptrend

According to @EmberCN, citing CoinGlass’s 2025 crypto derivatives market annual report, public DAT companies’ BTC holdings trended upward nearly monotonically through 2025, rising from roughly 600,000 BTC at the start of the year, based on CoinGlass data. According to @EmberCN’s summary of CoinGlass’s dataset, the author characterizes 2025 as the DAT year, reflecting the sustained increase in reported holdings by these entities as recorded by CoinGlass. (Source)

More from 余烬 12-25-2025 11:21
Orderly One hits 2,000 DEX creations in 3 months; 116 graduated, distributor program offers lifetime fee share

According to @ranyi1115, 2,000 decentralized exchanges were created on Orderly One and 116 graduated within the first three months since launch. source: @ranyi1115 on X, Dec 25, 2025 The Vanguard Distributor program invites referrals for teams wanting to launch a custom branded DEX and offers a lifetime fee share on the trading volume they bring. source: @ranyi1115 on X, Dec 25, 2025; dex.orderly.network/distributor Program access and application details are provided at dex.orderly.network/distributor for prospective distributors. source: dex.orderly.network/distributor These verified metrics and fee terms are relevant for traders and partners when assessing venue selection and incentive structures across the Orderly One ecosystem. source: @ranyi1115 on X, Dec 25, 2025; dex.orderly.network/distributor (Source)

More from Ran 12-25-2025 11:12
BTC Monthly Chart Alert: @TATrader_Alan Says Bitcoin (BTC) Markup Phase to Begin Next Month

According to @TATrader_Alan, the BTC monthly chart indicates a Bitcoin markup phase set to begin next month, source: @TATrader_Alan on X, Dec 25, 2025. The author references the monthly timeframe ($BTC/monthly), pointing to next month as the period he expects the phase to start, which may guide BTC traders’ timing on higher timeframes, source: @TATrader_Alan on X, Dec 25, 2025. (Source)

More from Trader Tardigrade 12-25-2025 10:48
Bitcoin BIP110 Activation Watch: BitMEX Research Flags No Miner Signalling in 2nd Epoch — What BTC Traders Should Monitor

According to @BitMEXResearch, the bitnod.es BIP110 activation monitoring chart shows the Bitcoin network has entered the second signalling epoch with no miner signalling recorded so far. Source: @BitMEXResearch on X Dec 25 2025; bitnod.es. The Christmas-themed progress chart was also inscribed on-chain and is viewable via Ordiscan inscription dd4c5906a402962822dd9d76dba3afd49fa9baea412bbd94d4a827389b694e9di0. Source: @BitMEXResearch on X; ordiscan.com. For traders, versionbits-style deployments require sufficient miner signalling within a difficulty-epoch window to activate, so the current lack of signalling means activation cannot complete in this window unless signalling begins and reaches the threshold. Source: BIP9 versionbits specification on the bitcoin BIPs repository; @BitMEXResearch on X. (Source)

More from BitMEX Research 12-25-2025 10:07
Binance Smart Money Trader ‘奥特曼dad’ Posts 213.9% ROI, 93.75% Win Rate, 27.5% MDD Over 173 Days: Performance Snapshot

According to @cas_abbe on X (Dec 25, 2025), Binance Smart Money trader 奥特曼dad has recorded a total ROI of +213.9%, USD 561,998 profit, a 93.75% win rate, 173 days active, and a max drawdown of 27.5% (source: @cas_abbe). The source characterizes this track record as a strong win rate with controlled risk over time and cites the account as among the top performers on Binance Smart Money (source: @cas_abbe). (Source)

More from Cas Abbé 12-25-2025 10:02
$2.6M USDC Whale Opens 1x Short on LIT (LIT) — Onchain Lens On-Chain Alert

According to @OnchainLens, on Dec 25, 2025 a whale deposited 2.6 million USDC and opened a LIT short position with 1x leverage; source: twitter.com/OnchainLens/status/2004127354827010216 and hyperbot.network/trader/0xDaAc35BcA6f338399A89ea230A85cCDdaa411725. The trader page shows activity tied to wallet 0xDaAc35BcA6f338399A89ea230A85cCDdaa411725 with a LIT short at 1x leverage and USDC collateral; source: hyperbot.network/trader/0xDaAc35BcA6f338399A89ea230A85cCDdaa411725. (Source)

More from Onchain Lens 12-25-2025 09:49
Erik Voorhees Swaps 1,635 ETH ($4.81M) for BCH via THORChain, per Lookonchain On-Chain Data

According to @lookonchain, Erik Voorhees deposited another 1,635 ETH, valued at approximately $4.81 million at the time, into THORChain to swap for BCH (source: @lookonchain on X, Dec 25, 2025). @lookonchain provided on-chain transaction links indicating the deposit and planned ETH-to-BCH swap route via THORChain (source: @lookonchain on X, Dec 25, 2025). (Source)

More from Lookonchain 12-25-2025 09:49
Ontario Securities Commission Approves Matador to Raise $58M for BTC Treasury Goal of 1,000 BTC by 2026

According to the source, the Ontario Securities Commission approved Matador to raise $58 million via share sales, enabling the firm to access equity capital under Canadian securities oversight (source: Dec 25, 2025 social media update). The Bitcoin financial services firm stated it will use the proceeds to expand its treasury toward a target of owning 1,000 BTC by the end of 2026, outlining a clear accumulation timeline (source: Dec 25, 2025 social media update). For traders, the planned treasury build signals scheduled institutional BTC demand and equity-financed accumulation that could affect spot and OTC liquidity planning through 2026 (source: Dec 25, 2025 social media update). (Source)

More from CoinMarketCap 12-25-2025 09:49