Polymarket odds flat as RFK Jr. leads 2028 GOP nod at 49%
A report says the U.S. is expected to host the Women’s World Cup in 2031, per a Trump official, adding a new visibility datapoint.
Polymarket odds put Lula at 60.5% in Brazil 2026 race after +11pp move
A political handicapper revised ratings in two U.S. House races, nudging a California seat toward Democrats and a Maine seat toward Republicans.
Polymarket: Eizenkot jumps to 49.5% in Israel PM market on $27.6M volume
A report detailed a clash between Yisrael Beiteinu and Shas over a party-funding increase bill and whether it was being tied to a Knesset dissolution date.
Polymarket odds: Le Pen leads French 2027 race at 32% as consensus weakens
On Monday, Jeffries dismissed Trump’s talk of Chinese election interference as baseless, adding to a broader election-integrity news cycle.
Polymarket prices Sept Fed hold at 60.5% as hike odds stay elevated
A research note on the Singapore dollar says upside risk versus the US dollar is building as rate differentials and the US macro outlook shift.
Polymarket odds: Vance leads 2028 field at 19.85% as Iran strikes continue
A report said the United States struck Iran for a sixth straight day, keeping geopolitical risk in focus even for long-dated politics.
Polymarket odds put Anthropic at 96.8% in best AI model race despite wobble
New York Gov. Kathy Hochul said her team used AI to review every state rule in a couple of months and is considering a up-to-one-year pause on new hyperscale data centers.
Polymarket yes odds jump to 22.5% on U.S.–Iran invasion bet after report
A report says Israel is preparing for the possibility of a U.S.–Iran escalation next week, prompting fresh contingency chatter.
Polymarket odds price 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 83.75% after TV segment
A Morgan Stanley Wealth Management chief economic strategist discussed Fed expectations and long-term U.S. bonds during a financial TV segment.
Polymarket: Maduro rises to 80% in Venezuela leader 2026 market
A new report says a Trump-backed Arizona candidate is struggling in a House primary amid sex-scandal allegations.