Prediction Markets

Polymarket: Newsom slips to 20.65% in 2028 Dem nominee market
Prediction Markets

Polymarket: Newsom slips to 20.65% in 2028 Dem nominee market

A newly published commentary warns Donald Trump could endanger U.S. democracy through alleged election-rigging efforts, amplifying election-integrity anxieties.

Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49% for 2028 GOP nod despite Trump claim
Prediction Markets

Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49% for 2028 GOP nod despite Trump claim

MSNBC founder Tom Rogers argued in a new commentary that Donald Trump is laying groundwork to invoke emergency powers to overturn the 2026 midterms.

Polymarket prices Le Pen at 31.75% in 2027 France race as field stays split
Prediction Markets

Polymarket prices Le Pen at 31.75% in 2027 France race as field stays split

A feed headline says Donald Trump is expected to speak about “free and fair elections,” spotlighting election-integrity themes.

Polymarket prices 96% Fed hold in July as inflation fears shift odds
Prediction Markets

Polymarket prices 96% Fed hold in July as inflation fears shift odds

A market-focused report said silver fell as energy-driven inflation fears kept the Fed’s rate outlook elevated.

Polymarket odds dip: Spain–Argentina O/U 0.5 Yes at 89.5%
Prediction Markets

Polymarket odds dip: Spain–Argentina O/U 0.5 Yes at 89.5%

Meta is adding proactive alerts to parents when teens with supervised Instagram accounts discuss self-harm or suicide with Meta AI.

Polymarket odds: Vance leads 2028 GOP field at 19.85% ahead of Trump address
Prediction Markets

Polymarket odds: Vance leads 2028 GOP field at 19.85% ahead of Trump address

A report says Donald Trump will give a Thursday 9 p.m. ET primetime address on elections and newly declassified 2020 intelligence, reviving debate ahead of the 2026 midterms.

Polymarket odds hold: 66.5% for September Fed no-change
Prediction Markets

Polymarket odds hold: 66.5% for September Fed no-change

Ahead of key U.S. employment data, Treasury yields ticked higher, with the 10-year at 4.573% and the 2-year at 4.158% as markets weighed fresh disinflation signals.

Polymarket boosts Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race after Trump tariff shock
Prediction Markets

Polymarket boosts Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race after Trump tariff shock

A report said Trump imposed 25% tariffs on Brazilian goods, injecting a new macro shock into Brazil’s outlook.

Polymarket: Messi odds jump to 41% in 2026 Ballon d’Or market
Prediction Markets

Polymarket: Messi odds jump to 41% in 2026 Ballon d’Or market

A new video segment said an analyst expects Apple to keep growing in Q2 despite price hikes, citing pulled-forward China demand and potential regulatory approval for Apple AI and Alibaba’s model.

Polymarket odds: Starmer exit before 2027 at 98.65% after Iran strikes
Prediction Markets

Polymarket odds: Starmer exit before 2027 at 98.65% after Iran strikes

A report says the US expanded strikes into northern Iran and disabled a ship trying to run a blockade, adding fresh geopolitical volatility.