Prediction Markets
Polymarket prices Trump exit by July 31 at 0.25% despite tariff turmoil
A new report says Trump’s latest tariff push has entered an “ugly phase,” fueling voter backlash and friction with U.S. allies.
Polymarket lifts Iran invasion odds to 29.5% after 12th night of US strikes
U.S. forces carried out a 12th straight night of strikes on Iran, extending what’s being framed as a continuing campaign rather than a one-off action.
Polymarket: Le Pen odds rise to 30.9% in France 2027 race on $115.6M
A Fox News poll write-up reported Democrats retook an edge on trust to handle the economy, their strongest since 2006, as inflation and affordability remain central.
Polymarket odds double to 16.5% for Putin out by June 2027
Ukraine called an urgent UN Security Council meeting after Russian strikes reportedly halted traffic through Kyiv’s Black Sea maritime corridor during harvest season.
Polymarket prices Trump out-by-July at 45% as Pentagon Iran briefing hits
The Pentagon briefed House lawmakers on the Iran war amid rising regional tensions, according to a report.
Polymarket odds: Newsom leads 2028 Dem nominee at 19.75% after pullback
Matched-topic chatter spotlights reactions to a FOX poll described as rough for Republicans on the economy and affordability.
Polymarket boosts Eizenkot to 50% in Israel PM race after security headlines
Israeli police said two suspects in Shuafat were arrested over an alleged plan to attack Jerusalem, alongside weapons finds in A-Ram and broader seizures in Beit Hanina.
Polymarket holds 2028 GOP nominee odds flat as RFK Jr. stays at 49%
A report says Donald Trump endorsed Rick Jackson in Georgia’s gubernatorial race, highlighting Trump’s sway in down-ballot politics.
Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volume
After hotter-than-expected inflation, the New Zealand Dollar stalled, reinforcing a “higher for longer” tone in global rate chatter.
Polymarket prices BTC above $54K at 99.95% after Tesla Q2 bitcoin report
Tesla said it held 11,509 BTC through Q2 and booked a $112 million after-tax impairment as bitcoin slid 14% in the quarter before rebounding.