Polymarket: Anthropic tops best AI model odds at 95.5% on $6.26M volume
Demis Hassabis said Google DeepMind wants a US-led global AI watchdog running before year-end to vet frontier models and coordinate slowdowns if systems look too risky.
Polymarket odds favor Bitcoin tagging $64K in July 13-19 ladder
A daily markets note said renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities lifted oil, with Brent up nearly 4% in 24 hours as bitcoin slid to about $62,600 ahead of a CPI release.
Polymarket odds put Farage at 94.5% in Clacton by-election market
A report says a Russia sanctions bill could advance in Congress, with lawmakers eyeing the next procedural steps to honor Graham.
Polymarket prices BTC above $52K at 99.95% as seized-coin transfers watched
On Monday, U.S. government-linked wallets moved about $288 million in seized bitcoin and ether to Coinbase Prime, raising questions about potential selling versus custody staging.
Polymarket odds for Hormuz traffic normal by 2026 drop to 56.5%
Iran’s parliament has begun drafting legislation billed as “management of the Strait of Hormuz,” spotlighting possible changes in how the waterway is handled.
Polymarket odds for 0 Fed cuts in 2026 dip to 80% on China export view
A PIMCO commentator said China’s move up the manufacturing value chain could keep exports growing and ease inflation abroad.
Polymarket odds of US invading Iran before 2027 jump to 19% on report
After a third night of U.S. strikes, a report says President Donald Trump threatened to hit Iran’s fortified “Pickaxe Mountain” nuclear site and demanded 20% of Strait of Hormuz cargo value.
Polymarket odds lift Le Pen to 30% in 2027 France race on sanctions buzz
A fresh report says the Senate is exploring new Russia sanctions framed around honoring Graham, highlighting rising geopolitical risk.
Polymarket odds: Mbappe leads 2026 Ballon d'Or at 33.5% on $7.1M
A report says Trump urged the U.S. Senate to pass the CLARITY Act ahead of a crucial vote on the crypto bill.
Polymarket prices Bitcoin above $52K at 99.95% as rate-hike fears hit
A macro-driven crypto selloff followed rising bets on a July Fed rate hike ahead of a U.S. inflation report and expected testimony by Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, with short-dated Treasury yields climbing.