Polymarket prices 99.95% odds BTC tops $52K by July 16 after cooler CPI
Bitcoin climbed about 3.6% to roughly $64,800 after June CPI cooled, with headline inflation at 3.5% and core at 2.6%, easing rate-hike fears.
Polymarket sees 55.5% odds for Iran blockade end by Aug. 31 after Trump jab
On July 15, Trump was quoted warning Iran the U.S. would “hit them very hard,” injecting near-term uncertainty into U.S.-Iran posture.
Polymarket prices 18% odds Putin is out by June 2027 on $17M volume
In a recent report, President Donald Trump said Congress could soon approve a new Russia sanctions bill and was asked if he might sign it within a week or two.
Polymarket: Iran Hormuz fee odds dip to 72% for Dec 31 after ship attacks
A top US commander in the Middle East said Iran attacked seven commercial ships in the past week, heightening maritime-risk worries.
Polymarket odds put Starmer at 97.65% in 'next leader out' market
A recent analysis titled “No end in sight for new Iran war” argues the conflict is far from ending.
Polymarket: Le Pen odds jump to 31% in 2027 France race on $112M volume
A U.S. midterms poll analysis says “double haters” are breaking toward Democrats ahead of November, despite the usual backlash against the White House party.
Polymarket: Trump out by July 31 priced at 0.55% as Senate bill fight simmers
In a Senate vote, Democrats blocked a $1.15 trillion defense authorization bill, signaling a near-term legislative standoff and procedural uncertainty.
Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.95% as Trump stays near 1%
About a month before Florida’s GOP primary, new polling shows Rep. Byron Donalds leading the field after repeated Trump endorsements.
Polymarket prices 2026 Fed hike at 51.5% after 15-point drop
June US inflation data showed CPI slowing to 3.5% year on year from 4.2% in May, sending the dollar lower and cooling near-term Fed hike expectations.
Polymarket odds steady: RFK Jr. 49% for GOP 2028 nominee after Trump report
A report says Donald Trump backtracked on a proposed 20% toll demand tied to the Strait of Hormuz, but traders didn’t meaningfully reprice 2028 GOP nominee expectations.