Polymarket holds 9% odds on Israel genocide guilty ruling by 2027
Israeli drone attacks and gunfire in Gaza reportedly killed at least five people, including a nine-year-old girl, even as ceasefire talks continue.
Polymarket prices Iran invasion risk at 19.5% after expanded U.S. strikes
Over several days, U.S.
Polymarket: Fed hold at 53.5% as CPI/PPI week tests September odds
Markets face a packed slate this week as major banks kick off Q2 earnings and inflation data lands with CPI Tuesday and PPI Wednesday, plus Friday’s consumer sentiment.
Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.95% as tape weakens after Graham report
Sen. Lindsey Graham was reported dead at 71, reshaping Senate math and looming fights like Todd Blanche’s July 15–16 hearings.
Polymarket prices Flávio Bolsonaro at 82.5% for Brazil 2026 first-round No. 2
Sen. Markwayne Mullin defended tying election-security funding to counterterrorism support in a new U.S. political headline, reigniting debate over how those dollars are structured.
Polymarket prices July Fed hold at 75.5% as hike risk lingers
A recent commentary warns a Fed rate hike could trigger an immediate stock selloff, even if history hints at a better longer-term read-through.
Polymarket puts Anthropic at 94.5% to lead AI model race after hires
Tom Blomfield, Monzo’s former CEO, said he’s taking leave from Y Combinator to join Anthropic’s AI compute team, alongside other recent star hires.
Polymarket odds stay firm on BTC above $52K by July 15 despite Iran strikes
After a fourth round of U.S. strikes on Iran, bitcoin hovered near $63,800 while gold, oil, stocks, and bonds swung.
Polymarket Golden Ball odds stay flat at 50% after Bellingham spotlight
A new analysis says England’s World Cup hopes hinge on X-factor stars, highlighting Jude Bellingham and Harry Kane after Bellingham’s two-goal, 2-1 extra-time win over Norway ahead of an Argentina