Polymarket lifts Putin exit-by-2027 odds to 20% amid Russia fuel shortages
Across Russia, drivers are facing hours-long and even multi-day gas lines as shortages worsen, with some stations closing after reported drone strikes hit refineries as far as Omsk on July 6.
Polymarket odds jump as July 12 leads Iran Gulf action ladder at 84.5%
US Central Command said it launched a third round of strikes on Iran this week, hitting about 140 military sites after an IRGC attack disabled the Cyprus-flagged M/V GFS Galaxy in the Strait of
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic normal by July 15 priced 0.35% Yes after strikes
Iran reportedly launched missile attacks on US sites in Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, and Qatar, including Al Udeid, as Doha activated emergency alerts after fresh US strikes on Iran.
Polymarket prices 99.95% odds Bitcoin tops $54K by July 14
In 2026, CoreWeave reportedly raised over $20 billion, including a $3.1 billion GPU-backed loan, as Bitcoin sits more than 50% below its $126,000 peak.
Polymarket prices Eizenkot at 40% in tight Israel PM race after US-Lebanon talks
US and Lebanese military delegations met in Beirut to discuss a US-brokered framework’s first phase for an Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, with more talks expected in Rome next week.
Polymarket odds: Putin out by June 2027 rises to 18% amid Ukraine war escalation
Russian missiles and drones struck Kyiv and Odesa this week, with Ukraine reporting injuries and deaths, as Zelenskyy pressed NATO on commitments amid dwindling munitions.
Polymarket odds put Mbappé at 32.5% to win 2026 Ballon d'Or after +5.45pp
A new housing report says this spring’s buying season was underwhelming for a fourth year, with mortgage rates hovering near 6.5% after a late-February dip reversed following the US attack on Iran.
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot 39.4% leads Netanyahu in Israel PM race
Sen. Lindsey Graham reportedly died at 71 after a brief illness, his office said, as South Carolina weighs steps to appoint a temporary replacement.
Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as Texas poll shifts focus
A Texas-focused poll finds Hispanic respondents now angrier about Trump’s deportations after previously swinging toward him, putting immigration enforcement at the center of a shifting state
Polymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike drop to 58.5% after AI inflation talk
Minutes from the Fed’s June meeting cited tariffs and “AI-related price pressures” as drivers of higher core goods inflation, with energy and AI infrastructure demand adding to costs.