NJ lidar bill pressures Tesla as Polymarket keeps Anthropic at 85.5%
In New Jersey, lawmakers are weighing a bill requiring fully autonomous vehicles to use cameras plus two extra sensors like lidar and radar, potentially blocking Tesla’s camera-only Robotaxi.
Oil spike hits Bitcoin near $62K as Polymarket pegs $52K at 99.9%
Tuesday’s New York Fed survey showed 12-month inflation expectations rose to 3.7% as renewed U.S.-Iran airstrikes helped drive oil up about 5%, with Bitcoin hovering near $62,000 ahead of Fed
Tankers turn back after attacks, Polymarket sees 57.5% Hormuz normal by Dec 31
On July 8, 2026, four oil and gas tankers reportedly reversed course after vessel attacks near the Strait of Hormuz, highlighting fresh security risk for energy shipping.
Trump urges US-Spain trade cutoff as Polymarket backs Starmer exit at 97.3%
On July 8, 2026, Donald Trump reportedly called for cutting off all U.S. trade with Spain, without detailing how or when it would happen.
Higher mortgage outlook dips Kane to 26.5% in Polymarket Ballon d'Or 2026
For the week ending July 2, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.43%, and a report warned it could stay between 6.50% and 6.70% until 2027.
Omsk refinery hit trims Polymarket odds for United Russia lead to 54.5%
On Monday, industry sources said Ukraine’s drone strike halted Gazprom Neft’s Omsk refinery after damaging key crude distillation units, with repairs underway and no injuries reported.
Gaza strike report fails to move Polymarket, RFK Jr holds 49% for 2028 GOP
A report said an Israeli strike in Gaza killed an organizer of a World Cup public screening just before kickoff. Polymarket traders are watching for any ripple into U.S.
IDF account disputed in Lebanon clash as Polymarket lifts Eizenkot to 40%
Reserve troops from the 679th Yiftah Brigade say the IDF misdescribed Tuesday’s Bint Jbeil clash, including when an Oketz dog was killed and when evacuations occurred.
Oil jumps on U.S.-Iran tensions as Polymarket puts Hormuz fees at 76% by Dec 31
Brent climbed over 3% to $76.48 a barrel at 06:30 GMT after renewed U.S.-Iran fighting and attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.
Drone strikes hit Chernihiv as Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2027 odds to 19%
On July 6, Russian drones hit two enterprises in Ukraine’s Chernihiv region, igniting fires in Koriukivka district that responders later put out with no reported casualties.