England beats Mexico, Polymarket keeps Golden Ball leader at 50%
England advanced to the World Cup quarter-finals with a 3-2 round-of-16 win over Mexico at the Azteca, surviving a long spell with 10 men after Jarell Quansah’s red card.
MiCA distribution squeeze hits ETH sentiment as Polymarket sees 43.5% $1,700 dip
On July 3, EU regulators updated MiCA’s interim register as transitional periods expired, pressing unlicensed crypto providers to stop onboarding and marketing to EU clients while winding down
Trump seeks Balogun ban review as Polymarket puts Ronaldo tears at 16.5%
On Wednesday, Donald Trump said he called FIFA president Gianni Infantino to seek a review of Folarin Balogun’s red-card ban before the U.S. plays Belgium.
Strategy sale disclosure jolts Bitcoin as Polymarket puts $52K at 99.5%
Bitcoin climbed to about $63,900 early this week before reversing after disclosures that Strategy sold 3,588 BTC last week, though the dip was brief and losses were muted.
Bitcoin holds $63K as Polymarket prices 99.95% chance above $50K by July 8
Over the past week, ether jumped about 12% while bitcoin stayed above $63,000 despite a firmer dollar and fading AI-stock momentum, with U.S. inflation data ahead.
Trump–Netanyahu rift sharpens as Polymarket puts Eizenkot at 39%
On July 6, a report warned Trump may reassess US ties with Israel as Netanyahu pursues a risky strategy amid corruption charges and looming elections.
OPEC+ hikes output as Hormuz traffic lags, Polymarket 99% on no by July 15
After a virtual meeting, OPEC+ said it will raise output by 188,000 bpd from August as it continues unwinding 2023 voluntary cuts, while Hormuz transits stayed far below the usual ~130 per day.
Iran funeral preparations hit Hormuz normalization bet to 59.5% on Polymarket
Today in Tehran, Iran is holding a funeral procession for its slain supreme leader, with organizers expecting millions to attend amid heightened tensions.
BofA warns of equity snapback as Polymarket puts Sept Fed hold at 69.5%
After the S&P 500’s best quarter since 2020, Bank of America warned valuations could “snapback” as speculation runs hot and the Fed battles sticky inflation.
Khamenei funeral draws crowds as Polymarket sees 11.5% odds of US invading Iran
On the second day of funeral ceremonies in Tehran, Iranian TV showed Mostafa, Meysam and Masoud Khamenei praying behind coffins at the Imam Khomeini Grand Mosalla as Mojtaba remained absent.