Khamenei funeral draws crowds as Polymarket sees 11.5% odds of US invading Iran
On the second day of funeral ceremonies in Tehran, Iranian TV showed Mostafa, Meysam and Masoud Khamenei praying behind coffins at the Imam Khomeini Grand Mosalla as Mojtaba remained absent.
ARK’s $77M crypto-stock buys lift focus as Polymarket sees BTC >$52K at 99%
In June, ARK Invest disclosed about $77 million in crypto-stock buys, led by Coinbase and Circle, even as Bitcoin logged its worst month in four years.
Kentucky data center lease keeps Anthropic at 84.5% on Polymarket AI race
A July 6, 2026 report says Anthropic signed a 20-year lease tied to a Kentucky AI data center slated to start up in late 2027 and ramp to 401MW in 2028.
Netanyahu touts Trump ties as Polymarket puts Eizenkot at 40% for Israel PM
In a Fox News interview, Benjamin Netanyahu said his relationship with Donald Trump is “fine” amid debate over a US-Iran ceasefire framework and Israel’s stance in Lebanon.
McMorrow exit tightens Michigan race as Polymarket keeps Vance atop at 20%
On Monday, Michigan state senator Mallory McMorrow dropped out of the state’s U.S. Senate race, leaving Rep.
Hamas Gaza handover report lifts Polymarket: Maduro 78.65% to lead Venezuela
On July 6, 2026, a report said Hamas dissolved its Gaza government and will transfer authority to a UN-backed committee.
Cooling inflation bets lift BTC as Polymarket prices 99.95% above $48K
In the week ended July 5, Bitcoin rose nearly 7% and hovered near $62,066 as U.S. inflation breakevens slid, with the two-year rate dipping below 2%.
Chinese survey ship near Taiwan pulls Polymarket clash odds to 5.5%
From June 16–18, the Chinese research vessel Xiang Yang Hong 22 ran an oceanographic survey east of Taiwan that U.S. experts said could aid military planning.
Trump backs July 4 Mall event as Polymarket keeps Starmer exit at 96.75%
Donald Trump said he personally overruled advice to cancel a July 4 National Mall event, putting himself at the center of the decision.
Brandt eyes swapping Bitcoin for gold as Polymarket sees 99.95% above $50K
Veteran trader Peter Brandt said he may sell some Bitcoin to buy gold, citing the XAU/BTC ratio as a signal gold could lead a new macro cycle.