Prediction Markets

ARK’s $77M crypto-stock buys lift focus as Polymarket sees BTC >$52K at 99%
Prediction Markets

ARK’s $77M crypto-stock buys lift focus as Polymarket sees BTC >$52K at 99%

In June, ARK Invest disclosed about $77 million in crypto-stock buys, led by Coinbase and Circle, even as Bitcoin logged its worst month in four years.

Kentucky data center lease keeps Anthropic at 84.5% on Polymarket AI race
Prediction Markets

Kentucky data center lease keeps Anthropic at 84.5% on Polymarket AI race

A July 6, 2026 report says Anthropic signed a 20-year lease tied to a Kentucky AI data center slated to start up in late 2027 and ramp to 401MW in 2028.

Netanyahu touts Trump ties as Polymarket puts Eizenkot at 40% for Israel PM
Prediction Markets

Netanyahu touts Trump ties as Polymarket puts Eizenkot at 40% for Israel PM

In a Fox News interview, Benjamin Netanyahu said his relationship with Donald Trump is “fine” amid debate over a US-Iran ceasefire framework and Israel’s stance in Lebanon.

McMorrow exit tightens Michigan race as Polymarket keeps Vance atop at 20%
Prediction Markets

McMorrow exit tightens Michigan race as Polymarket keeps Vance atop at 20%

On Monday, Michigan state senator Mallory McMorrow dropped out of the state’s U.S. Senate race, leaving Rep.

Hamas Gaza handover report lifts Polymarket: Maduro 78.65% to lead Venezuela
Prediction Markets

Hamas Gaza handover report lifts Polymarket: Maduro 78.65% to lead Venezuela

On July 6, 2026, a report said Hamas dissolved its Gaza government and will transfer authority to a UN-backed committee.

Cooling inflation bets lift BTC as Polymarket prices 99.95% above $48K
Prediction Markets

Cooling inflation bets lift BTC as Polymarket prices 99.95% above $48K

In the week ended July 5, Bitcoin rose nearly 7% and hovered near $62,066 as U.S. inflation breakevens slid, with the two-year rate dipping below 2%.

Chinese survey ship near Taiwan pulls Polymarket clash odds to 5.5%
Prediction Markets

Chinese survey ship near Taiwan pulls Polymarket clash odds to 5.5%

From June 16–18, the Chinese research vessel Xiang Yang Hong 22 ran an oceanographic survey east of Taiwan that U.S. experts said could aid military planning.

Trump backs July 4 Mall event as Polymarket keeps Starmer exit at 96.75%
Prediction Markets

Trump backs July 4 Mall event as Polymarket keeps Starmer exit at 96.75%

Donald Trump said he personally overruled advice to cancel a July 4 National Mall event, putting himself at the center of the decision.

Brandt eyes swapping Bitcoin for gold as Polymarket sees 99.95% above $50K
Prediction Markets

Brandt eyes swapping Bitcoin for gold as Polymarket sees 99.95% above $50K

Veteran trader Peter Brandt said he may sell some Bitcoin to buy gold, citing the XAU/BTC ratio as a signal gold could lead a new macro cycle.

Kyiv hit as Polymarket puts Maduro at 79% to lead Venezuela in 2026
Prediction Markets

Kyiv hit as Polymarket puts Maduro at 79% to lead Venezuela in 2026

A Russian missile-and-drone assault on Kyiv killed at least five people, with emergency crews responding as aerial attacks persist.