Xi backs Belarus sovereignty, Polymarket keeps Xi out-by-2027 odds at 6.25%
After Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko met Vladimir Putin in Valdai, he traveled to Beijing, where Xi Jinping said China backs Belarus’s sovereignty and called for continued strategic dialogue.
After SCOTUS mail vote loss, Trump pushes SAVE Act as Vance holds 19.4%
Donald Trump is pressing ahead with the SAVE America Act after a Supreme Court setback tied to mail voting, keeping election rules central to his messaging.
Lapid alleges Netanyahu "satellite parties" as Polymarket backs Eizenkot 41.6%
Opposition leader Yair Lapid said Benjamin Netanyahu is building “satellite parties” ahead of Israel’s next election, arguing it signals he expects defeat.
Supreme Court rebuff hits Trump as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%
On Monday, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected Donald Trump’s bid to overturn the $5 million E. Jean Carroll verdict, leaving the civil judgment intact.
Gulf officials weigh US-backed Lebanon–Israel framework as Polymarket Yes slips
On June 25, UAE President Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed met Syria’s foreign minister a day before the US, Lebanon, and Israel announced a trilateral framework that Gulf officials see as a sovereignty and
Dnipro strike hits Ukraine as Polymarket raises Crimea recapture odds to 13.5%
Russian forces struck an industrial facility in Dnipro, killing four people and later leaving 21 wounded, according to regional officials.
Ross impeachment warning hits Polymarket as Starmer exit odds rise to 91.5%
Former Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said Democrats would move to impeach Donald Trump if they win the U.S. House in November, raising the stakes for the midterms.
USD stays firm, Polymarket puts 2026 no-cut Fed odds at 77.75%
A 2026-06-29 EUR/USD analysis said the U.S. dollar still holds a relative edge over the euro, keeping near-term risks tilted toward USD strength.
BTC below $60K as Polymarket pegs 99.85% odds above $52K by June 30
June 29 analysis says Bitcoin remains below key gauges like the 200-day moving average and short-term holder cost basis, leaving price between distant support and resistance.
Disney license pressure campaign stirs 2028 chatter as Vance leads Polymarket
Pro-Trump groups are preparing to press Brendan Carr to pursue actions that could strip Disney’s TV licenses, escalating the campaign-era fight over media regulation.