Supreme Court week spotlights Trump power as Polymarket keeps Vance at 19.25%
In the coming week, the Supreme Court is set for a compressed run of major decisions that could define the limits on presidential authority and checks on executive power.
Bitcoin drops below $60K as Polymarket tilts to Netherlands at 45.5%
Over the weekend, bitcoin fell under $60,000 and hovered near $59,940 on Sunday, extending a weak first half as major altcoins also slid.
Ukraine hits Russian refineries as Polymarket Crimea recapture odds rise to 14%
Overnight, President Volodymyr Zelensky said Ukrainian forces struck Russian oil refineries in Krasnodar and Yaroslavl, calling them “long-range sanctions” to strain Moscow’s war resources.
Louisiana report spotlights Trump’s grip as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%
Recent moves in Louisiana are portrayed as cementing Donald Trump’s dominance in state Republican politics, leaving rivals with little leverage.
Vucic resignation plan lifts Polymarket odds of Putin exit to 12.5%
At a pro-government rally in Belgrade, Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic said he intends to resign within the next few weeks, paving the way for early elections.
US strikes, Trump vow sink Polymarket Jul15 Hormuz normalization odds to 13.5%
Fresh U.S. military strikes coincided with former President Donald Trump warning he would “complete the job” in Iran, heightening escalation concerns around Gulf shipping lanes.
U.S. hits Iran again as Trump vows escalation, Polymarket keeps him at 1.65%
On June 28, 2026, a report said the United States launched fresh strikes on Iran as Donald Trump warned he would “complete the job,” raising uncertainty.
Letlow primary win shifts Iran-entry market as Polymarket puts Senators at 55%
Trump-backed Letlow won the Republican primary for Sen. Bill Cassidy’s U.S. Senate seat, reinforcing Trump’s sway in GOP nominations and keeping Capitol Hill in focus.
Adorni quits in Milei graft storm as Polymarket boosts Eizenkot to 41.6%
On Saturday, Javier Milei’s cabinet chief Manuel Adorni resigned as prosecutors probe alleged illicit enrichment tied to lavish spending and property.
US strikes Iran again after Hormuz tanker hit; Polymarket sees 99.95% by Aug 31
On the second day of renewed action, the U.S. struck Iranian surveillance, air-defense, and drone sites after the Panama-flagged tanker Kiku was hit in the Strait of Hormuz around 4:30 a.m. ET.