US strikes Iran as Polymarket odds peg Starmer exit before 2027 at 90.5%
On the second straight day of attacks, the U.S. military said it struck multiple targets in Iran as a ceasefire came under strain.
GOP affordability feud hits headlines as Polymarket’s Newsom slips to 20.65%
Former President Donald Trump is facing pressure on his affordability pitch as Republicans clash over the SAVE America Act, complicating efforts to keep cost-of-living front and center.
Trump taps Schroyer for ICE as Polymarket odds favor zero Fed cuts in 2026
On Tuesday, President Donald Trump said he will nominate former Oklahoma state trooper Lance Schroyer to lead ICE as the agency expands after a $75 billion funding boost.
CENTCOM confirms new US strikes as Polymarket puts Iran shipping hit at 99%
On June 27, U.S. Central Command confirmed new U.S. strikes, saying Iran had a chance to honor a ceasefire but chose not to.
Report on Trump-era civil rights cuts lifts Polymarket Vance to 19.25%
A new report found Trump-era civil rights cutbacks are pushing student-rights disputes into uneven state rules, agencies, and courts as federal enforcement recedes.
Gulf security flares pull Polymarket odds to 75% on U.S. House trip to Iran
After U.S. airstrikes, Iranian drones reportedly hit Bahrain and a ship was struck in the strait, adding fresh escalation risk around Gulf routes.
Iran rejects US Hormuz hotline as Polymarket sees just 3.55% for normal traffic
Iran’s IRGC spokesman Hossein Mohebi said a proposed US-Iran Strait of Hormuz hotline “has not happened and will not happen,” as reports described renewed fire and a ship hit late Thursday.
Maher–Vance clash spotlights Trump fraud claims as Polymarket keeps Vance at 19%
Bill Maher confronted JD Vance over Donald Trump’s 2020 election-fraud claims, urging him to stop amplifying the rhetoric.
Hormuz reopening cools oil shock as Polymarket no-cut 2026 Fed odds dip
Oil prices have slid since the Strait of Hormuz reopened, easing an energy-driven inflation threat as focus shifts to whether surging AI data-center and chip spending could add new price pressure.
Asia AI launches test US export curbs as Polymarket keeps Anthropic at 85.5%
Two weeks after a U.S. order blocked global access to Anthropic’s Mythos and Fable models, China’s 360 unveiled the Tulongfeng tool and Sakana AI launched Fugu, pitching export-control resilience.