Prediction Markets

Bitcoin hits 20-month low as Polymarket keeps UEFA favorite at 69.5%
Prediction Markets

Bitcoin hits 20-month low as Polymarket keeps UEFA favorite at 69.5%

Bitcoin slid to a 20-month low as risk appetite weakened, underscoring a souring near-term tone across crypto markets.

Micron earnings loom as Polymarket cuts China-Philippines clash odds to 13.5%
Prediction Markets

Micron earnings loom as Polymarket cuts China-Philippines clash odds to 13.5%

Investors are bracing for Micron’s quarterly earnings after chip stocks led a broad pullback, with the report seen as a key test of AI-driven pricing strength in memory.

Cepeda concedes in Colombia as Polymarket prices Starmer exit at 91.5%
Prediction Markets

Cepeda concedes in Colombia as Polymarket prices Starmer exit at 91.5%

Three days after Colombia’s record-turnout run-off, leftist Ivan Cepeda conceded defeat to Abelardo de la Espriella while the final count continued.

Bessent says Treasury to oversee Iran funds as Polymarket sees 99% for 20+ ships
Prediction Markets

Bessent says Treasury to oversee Iran funds as Polymarket sees 99% for 20+ ships

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the Treasury will oversee Iranian funds released under Trump’s interim Iran agreement, aiming to steer money toward U.S. farm goods and medicines.

England-Ghana draw lifts Hormuz normalization odds to 42.5% on Polymarket
Prediction Markets

England-Ghana draw lifts Hormuz normalization odds to 42.5% on Polymarket

England and Ghana played to a 0-0 World Cup draw, with late chances but no breakthrough.

Draft-night trade chatter hits Giannis market as Polymarket keeps Heat at 98.95%
Prediction Markets

Draft-night trade chatter hits Giannis market as Polymarket keeps Heat at 98.95%

A report tied trade talks involving Giannis Antetokounmpo to the first of nine interconnected first-round draft deals, highlighting how draft-night negotiations can ripple across multiple

Senate probes UAE-linked Trump crypto deal as Polymarket keeps him at 1.85%
Prediction Markets

Senate probes UAE-linked Trump crypto deal as Polymarket keeps him at 1.85%

On June 23, Senate Democrats urged immediate hearings into a reported $500 million UAE-linked stake in Trump family crypto venture World Liberty Financial, alleging potential foreign influence.

Pentagon drops “Indo” from command name as Polymarket Taiwan clash stays 7.5%
Prediction Markets

Pentagon drops “Indo” from command name as Polymarket Taiwan clash stays 7.5%

On June 16, U.S. officials said the Pentagon will rename Indo-Pacific Command back to Pacific Command, a symbolic shift some analysts say could dent U.S.-India ties.

OG Bitcoin selling hits 2-year low as Polymarket prices 99.95% over $54K
Prediction Markets

OG Bitcoin selling hits 2-year low as Polymarket prices 99.95% over $54K

CryptoQuant data show five-year bitcoin holders cut selling to a near two-year low, with a 90-day average of 962 BTC spent, as BTC trades around $63,000.

Post-ceasefire warning hits US-Iran deal bets, Polymarket Aug 31 at 23.5%
Prediction Markets

Post-ceasefire warning hits US-Iran deal bets, Polymarket Aug 31 at 23.5%

On June 23, 2026, NYU professor Arang Keshavarzian said the post-ceasefire Middle East is entering a fragile, uncertain phase, citing divisions over the framework and Hormuz security risks.