US-Iran talks raise Israel focus as Polymarket puts Eizenkot at 37%
On June 21 at Switzerland’s Burgenstock resort, JD Vance began what he called historic US-Iran talks as Trump warned of strikes if Iran doesn’t curb proxies in Lebanon.
Israeli poll boosts Iran regime-fall odds to 35% on Polymarket
On June 21, a Hebrew University and Agam Institute poll found 92.1% of Israelis think Iran gained more from the war and US deal.
NATO warns cheap drones strain defenses as Polymarket Hormuz Yes ticks to 28.5%
On July 15-targeted timeline, NATO deputy commander Sir John Stringer said cheap drones and mass attacks are straining Western air defenses, highlighting the cost gap between Patriots and
AI data-center power crunch trims Anthropic to 92.85% on Polymarket
A new analysis of government and industry data projects U.S. data-center electricity demand could jump from 167 TWh in 2023 to about 376 TWh by 2030 as grid limits bite.
Musk BTC chatter returns as Polymarket puts 99.85% on Bitcoin above $58K
An analyst posted on X that Elon Musk owns Bitcoin and Dogecoin, citing SpaceX and Tesla’s BTC reserves while noting his personal stash remains unclear.
Warsh launches Fed policy review as Polymarket lifts July hold odds to 73.5%
After his first meeting as Fed chair, Kevin Warsh formed five task forces to rethink communications, data, inflation views, AI’s impact, and the $6.7 trillion balance sheet.
Stokes set for 3rd Test return as Polymarket puts 5+ World Cup misses at 61%
After an ECB disciplinary hearing, Ben Stokes and Gus Atkinson were named in England’s squad for the third Test vs New Zealand at Trent Bridge, following suspensions for a curfew breach.
Charles Schwab Plans S&P 500 Prediction Market with Cboe
Charles Schwab to launch S&P 500 prediction market with Cboe Global Markets, signaling its expansion into innovative trading offerings.
Rep. Bryan Steil Targets Insider Trading in Prediction Markets with New Bill
Rep. Bryan Steil proposes a bill banning Congress members from policy-related bets on prediction markets, sparking debate over White House exclusion.
Kalshi Partners With Wealthsimple to Launch Prediction Markets in Canada
Kalshi partners with Wealthsimple to launch a prediction market app in Canada, giving users access to 4,000 event contracts. Here's what it means for investors.