Tech-led stock slide as traders cut Polymarket 2026 Fed hike odds to 57.5%
U.S. stocks finished mixed Monday as big tech sank, pushing the S&P 500 down 0.37% and the Nasdaq off 1.32%, while investors awaited Thursday’s PCE inflation report.
Trump-backed Colombian runoff lead meets Polymarket’s 2028 Vance 20% edge
With over 99% of ballots counted, Abelardo de la Espriella led Colombia’s presidential runoff 49.7% to 48.7% as Iván Cepeda refused to concede pending official verification.
Hormuz rhetoric shadows US-Iran talks as Polymarket deal odds tick to 25.5%
After day one of U.S.-Iran talks in Switzerland, U.S. stock futures slid and oil whipsawed as mediators cited “encouraging progress” even while Trump warned over any Hormuz closure.
Tech selloff nudges SpaceX IPO lead down as Polymarket stays at 85.5%
On Monday, U.S. stocks ended mixed as big tech slid, with the Nasdaq down 1.3% and SpaceX shares falling for a third straight day.
Oil slips on US-Iran talk progress as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 79%
Brent crude slid 1.85% to $79.08 by 2:40 p.m. Singapore time after mediators said Washington and Tehran agreed to a 60-day roadmap toward a final deal.
June 26 Bitcoin options expiry looms as Polymarket puts 56K at 99.75%
More than $10 billion in Bitcoin options are set to expire on June 26, putting dealer hedging and key strike levels in focus as spot hovers near $65,000.
Oil flows persist despite Iran claims, Polymarket sees 51.5% odds of normal
Over the weekend, ship-tracking and U.S. Central Command showed millions of barrels moving through the Strait of Hormuz despite Iranian claims it was closed.
World Cup nostalgia essay hits as Polymarket keeps Newsom atop 2028 Dem odds
On June 21, 2026, an essay traced how a nearly six-year-old’s new obsession with the World Cup reshaped family routines, blending sticker books with YouTube highlights.
Trump AI export order jolts Polymarket, Starmer exit odds jump to 84.5%
Anthropic took its newest AI models, Fable 5 and Mythos 5, offline after a Trump administration export control order, as questions mount over security claims and guardrail bypass reports.
Screwworm risk and USMCA July 1 clock keep Polymarket at 80% for zero Fed cuts
A June report said ground beef prices are up over 20% since January 2025 as tighter cattle supplies meet a screwworm outbreak spreading from Mexico into the US and looming USMCA renewal risk ahead of