Polymarket prices Messi at 90% for 2026 World Cup Golden Ball
In a match analysis, England led Argentina 1-0 late before tactical changes and a deep block allowed two late goals, with Lionel Messi credited for two assists.
Polymarket prices BTC above $54K at 99.95% as dormant wallet stirs
A long-dormant Bitcoin wallet from the late-2017 peak moved 5,908 BTC—about $383 million—to a new address, not an exchange deposit, hinting at custody changes or an OTC deal.
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM race
During a Senate confirmation hearing, Trump’s intelligence nominee Jay Clayton declined to say Trump lost in 2020, saying Biden was “certified” and “I am not an election denier.” Polymarket traders
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claim
Iran’s Guards said they struck a U.S. base in Jordan, a claim framed as a discrete escalation involving American forces outside Iran.
Polymarket odds flat: RFK Jr. 49% in 2028 GOP nod market, $675M traded
President Trump appeared in a “Watch Live” item while speaking at a Pennsylvania Defense & Innovation Summit, with no fresh commitments highlighted.
Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M trades
A market note said gold fell as Iran-related tensions eased inflation-risk fears, boosting the dollar and reviving talk the Fed could stay hawkish.
Polymarket puts Putin-out-by-2027 at 17% after Arizona election settlement
Maricopa County election officials agreed to a joint oversight framework after mediation, setting an interim plan for the July 21 primary as early voting began in late June.
Polymarket odds of Trump out before 2027 tick up to 7.5% on Iran headline
A report attributed to Trump said Iran released an American detainee as U.S.-Iran tensions escalated, a headline some see as a near-term political-risk catalyst.
Polymarket prices 2026 Fed at 82% no cuts as yuan note fails to shift odds
A new research note titled “Chinese Yuan: Upside bias against US Dollar” pitches near-term CNY strength versus USD, framed as an FX tilt rather than a Fed forecast.
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights Tokyo
Tokyo’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara said Japan is concerned about a US campaign targeting the ICC, underscoring its rule-of-law stance even as it relies on US security.