Polymarket odds of US invasion of Iran rise to 20.5% after strike reports
Iran’s top negotiator said an interim peace understanding was voided after U.S.
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tape
A report says JD Vance said the Trump administration “absolutely screwed up” the Epstein files release, thrusting his messaging back into focus.
Polymarket odds: Newsom slips to 19.95% in 2028 Dem nominee market
On July 15, 2026, a report said Chicago is competing to keep the James Beard awards past 2028.
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65K
Bitcoin rose above $65,000 this week, with the move credited to easing inflation and momentum around the “Clarity Act.” Polymarket traders care because the July 2026 Fed ladder now clusters on “No
Polymarket holds 2028 GOP nom odds flat at 49% as hearing stirs 2020 debate
In a new report, Sen. Jon Ossoff pressed John Clayton about who won the 2020 election, reviving disputed claims in a formal hearing setting.
Polymarket prices Starmer at 98.75% to be next leader out before 2027
Democrats grilled intel nominee Jay Clayton in a tense confirmation hearing, spotlighting scrutiny of the nomination process.
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Polymarket odds: Lula leads Brazil 2026 race at 61.5% after 12pp jump
A report says Joe Biden plans to release a post-midterm memoir titled “Promise Me, America.” With attention briefly shifting, Polymarket traders still see a wide gap in Brazil’s 2026 race, pricing
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot tops Israel PM market at 42.7% on $26.9M
A report said United Torah Judaism chair Moshe Gafni threatened to vote against a bill weakening the attorney general after ultra-Orthodox kindergarten funding was pulled from the agenda.
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as 2028 field stays fragmented
The DCCC chair predicted Democrats will retake the House in a new report, framing Trump’s record as a central messaging target heading into 2026.
Polymarket: Trump out by July 31 odds slip to 0.45% after Iran strikes
On 2026-07-15, a report said the US launched new strikes on Iran, escalating a key geopolitical flashpoint.