Polymarket: Switzerland lead dips to 27.5% for next US-Iran talks venue
On July 9, 2026, a report said the US expanded strikes in Iran, while Iranian officials reported civilian damage across Bushehr province near key infrastructure.
Polymarket odds lift to 78.5% for Fed hold in July as mortgage rates rise
Freddie Mac said the average 30-year fixed U.S. mortgage rate rose to 6.49% this week, alongside firmer Treasury yields.
Polymarket sees 99%+ odds BTC stays above $60K by July 12 amid oil risks
On July 9, Bitcoin stayed above $62,000 as renewed US-Iran fighting disrupted Strait of Hormuz traffic and pushed oil higher, stoking inflation and rate worries.
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion Yes to 16.5% after renewed attacks
A report says U.S. and Iranian forces traded attacks for a second day after Trump said the ceasefire was “over,” with U.S. strikes on about 90 coastal targets and Iran hitting sites linked to U.S.
Polymarket Golden Ball market stays 50-50 as World Cup quarter-finals loom
With World Cup quarter-finals now framed as tense, high-stakes tests like Spain vs Belgium and France vs Morocco, attention is turning to who can shine on the biggest stage.
Polymarket odds peg BTC above $52K at 99.95% as July 12 ladder tightens
Bitcoin held above $62,000 as U.S.-Iran tensions flared again, while oil rose a third day and gold fell a fourth, leaving crypto relatively muted.
Polymarket odds for Hormuz traffic normalization slide to 62.5% on Gulf flare-up
The U.S. military said it ended a new round of strikes in Iran after hitting about 90 targets, as Iran responded with attacks affecting U.S.-allied Gulf states.
Polymarket prices BTC above $52K at 99.95% as CLARITY Act chatter builds
A new report says Bitcoin’s rebound is being pitched as a “CLARITY Act” catalyst over the next four weeks, even as no Senate floor vote is scheduled and delays could push action past Aug. 7.
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic normal-by-July odds plunge to 4.5% on strikes
US strikes were reported on Bushehr, Chabahar, Bandar Abbas, and Jask, with at least one death in Iranshahr and widespread power outages in Chabahar.
Polymarket odds slide to 61.5% on Hormuz traffic normalizing by Dec. 31
Washington said it will lift Syria’s “state sponsor of terrorism” label in 45 days unless Congress blocks it, after Trump met President Ahmed al-Sharaa at a NATO summit in Turkey.