Trump impeachment headline hits as Polymarket holds RFK Jr at 49% for GOP 2028
On July 4, a Politico post labeled “Trump Impeachment” put impeachment talk around former President Donald Trump back into the spotlight.
Trump’s Mount Rushmore speech lifts Polymarket to 97.45% on Starmer exit
On July 4 at Mount Rushmore, Donald Trump delivered an upbeat holiday address while warning of a Communist “enemy.” Polymarket traders are watching for political fallout as the “Next leader out of
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Peru declares Fujimori winner as Polymarket keeps Netanyahu at 39%
Peru’s National Jury of Elections declared Keiko Fujimori president, with 9,223,000 votes to Roberto Sanchez’s 9,173,000 after the June 7 runoff as fraud claims persisted without proof.
Venezuela quake fallout hits US politics as Polymarket puts Starmer at 97.5%
After earthquakes struck Venezuela, a report said the fallout is widening divisions among U.S. Republicans over how to approach the country’s leadership, sharpening a hawks-vs-Trump-aligned rift.
Vance disclosure spotlights crypto as Polymarket keeps him at 20.55%
On July 3, JD Vance’s financial disclosure detailed book-related income and listed cryptocurrency holdings, renewing scrutiny as 2028 maneuvering ramps up.
Kyiv leadership buzz lifts Polymarket odds of Putin exit by end-2026 to 11.5%
A Ukrainska Pravda investigation said ex-commander Valerii Zaluzhny told President Volodymyr Zelensky he would run if an autumn election were held, though details were unverified and wartime voting
Weak US payrolls lift gold as Polymarket sees 77.6% odds of zero Fed cuts
After weak US nonfarm payrolls data, gold extended gains as investors reassessed how much room the Federal Reserve has left to keep tightening.
Jobs report resets July Fed outlook as Polymarket pegs no-change at 90.5%
A MUFG-cited research note says the latest US jobs data has reset expectations for the Fed’s path, reshaping positioning and dollar dynamics ahead of upcoming decisions.
Russia steps up strikes as Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2026 odds to 11.5%
Russian overnight attacks on Ukraine killed at least four people and injured 10, officials said Friday, after a deadly day in Kyiv.
Tehran funeral focus lifts Polymarket to 97% on Starmer leaving office by 2027
In Tehran, a top Iranian general was seen publicly as officials prepared a dayslong funeral for Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, sharpening attention on who could steer the transition.