Iran warns of swift response as Polymarket puts 59% odds on June 27 strike
A senior Iranian official said Iran would respond swiftly and decisively to alleged U.S. agreement violations, amplifying uncertainty over near-term escalation.
GOP Senate primary tests Trump’s sway as Polymarket keeps RFK Jr. at 49%
In a new report, a Republican Senate hopeful tries to outflank a Trump-backed rival by leaning harder into MAGA priorities, testing whether endorsements still decide primaries.
Bitcoin stays above $60K as Polymarket puts July Fed hold odds at 80.5%
Bitcoin held above $60,000 as scrutiny grew over Strategy’s credit-sensitive funding model and what it could mean for crypto risk appetite if conditions tighten.
Crypto slide leaves Netherlands–Morocco Polymarket odds steady at 44.5%
Over the past week, major cryptocurrencies slid as investors rotated into AI-linked stocks, with bitcoin down 5.3% to about $60,345 after a brief dip and rebound.
Iran cites retaliation strikes as Polymarket pegs July 7 shipping hit at 89.5%
Iran said it struck US-linked targets in retaliation for earlier US attacks, underscoring a readiness to answer pressure with force and widening concerns about escalation beyond military sites.
Garlinghouse warns on Strategy financing as Polymarket sees 99.4% BTC above $54K
In a Friday interview, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said Strategy’s preferred-share bitcoin funding is “financial engineering” and noted STRC fell about 25% below par as BTC slipped under $59,000.
West Bank lockdown as Polymarket boosts Israel–Lebanon meeting odds to 91.5%
A West Bank settlement was locked down for over six hours after a suspected terrorist infiltration was reported.
Bolton guilty plea dents Polymarket odds for US-Iran nuclear deal by Dec 2026
Former U.S. national security adviser John Bolton pleaded guilty to illegally retaining classified information, renewing focus on how sensitive documents are handled.
US strikes put Iran trips in focus as Polymarket pegs Trump at 5%
On the same day the United States carried out new strikes involving Iran, Iran’s national team stayed in contention for a World Cup berth amid rising tensions.
Trump attacks ex-NSA aide after plea as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 91.5%
After a former national security adviser pleaded guilty, Donald Trump publicly denounced him and urged harsh punishment, intensifying attention on legal fallout from his orbit.