Zelensky sets NATO agenda as Polymarket puts Crimea recapture odds at 12.5%
Ahead of the NATO summit in Ankara, President Volodymyr Zelensky said Ukraine will prioritize air defense, energy resilience, EU integration, and pressure on Russia, after securing 160 recovery deals
Iran strike report lifts Polymarket Hormuz normalization odds to 31.5%
A report said Iran targeted U.S. military positions in retaliation for earlier American airstrikes, raising fears of wider escalation and shipping disruptions.
Colorado Dem governor race grabs attention as Bardella holds 25.5% on Polymarket
A new report spotlighted the emerging Colorado Democratic governor primary, contrasting Phil Weiser and Michael Bennet on priorities and positioning.
Trump headlines nudge Polymarket: 11.5% odds Putin exits by end-2026
In a June 26 news roundup, President Donald Trump warned “godless communists” are taking over the Democratic Party and hinted at consequences for Iran, while a U.S.-backed Israel-Lebanon framework
Apple Vision Pro exec to OpenAI, but Polymarket still has Anthropic at 85.5%
A report said Apple hardware VP Paul Meade, tied to Vision Pro and smart-glasses work, is expected to join OpenAI amid a leadership shakeup under new CEO John Ternus.
US strikes Iran; Polymarket lifts Dec. 31 nuclear deal odds to 54%
On Friday, the U.S. hit Iranian missile, drone, and radar sites after a drone strike on a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz.
US strikes in Iran shift Polymarket travel bets, Trump down to 15%
After U.S. forces struck Iranian missile and radar sites following a reported cargo-ship hit, tensions escalated and near-term travel to Iran looks riskier.
OpenAI details Jalapeño chip as Polymarket prices Anthropic at 99%
OpenAI says it’s building a custom inference chip called Jalapeño with Broadcom as the industry looks to hedge against reliance on Nvidia.
Binance Prediction Markets Gain Traction Amid FIFA World Cup
Binance's on-chain prediction markets see rapid adoption during FIFA World Cup, as sports event contracts dominate the $20B sector.
Kalshi, Polymarket Diverge on Anthropic, OpenAI IPO Odds
Prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket reveal contrasting odds for 2026 IPOs of Anthropic and OpenAI, with differing event settlement dynamics.