Prediction Markets

Schwab–Cboe prediction push as Polymarket puts Newsom at 23.1%
Prediction Markets

Schwab–Cboe prediction push as Polymarket puts Newsom at 23.1%

A June 20 report said Charles Schwab is working with Cboe on prediction-style, yes-or-no contracts for brokerage accounts, including S&P 500 level outcomes.

Taiko bridge exploit halts L2 as Polymarket puts ETH above $1,400 at 99%
Prediction Markets

Taiko bridge exploit halts L2 as Polymarket puts ETH above $1,400 at 99%

After an attacker exploited Taiko’s bridge, the Ethereum layer-2 halted block production and urged users to withdraw, with losses estimated near $1.7 million.

UK heat alert ripples into sports ops as Polymarket toss odds hit 99.95%
Prediction Markets

UK heat alert ripples into sports ops as Polymarket toss odds hit 99.95%

The Met Office issued an Amber heat warning for southern and eastern England lasting into next week, with Wimbledon 2026 forecasts suggesting temperatures could top June’s UK record.

Starmer resigns as Polymarket tilts Mexico to 50.5% vs Czechia
Prediction Markets

Starmer resigns as Polymarket tilts Mexico to 50.5% vs Czechia

On Monday, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer said he will resign and remain as caretaker until Labour picks a new leader, as Andy Burnham emerges as front-runner.

Colombia’s razor-thin runoff win nudges Bardella to 24.5% on Polymarket
Prediction Markets

Colombia’s razor-thin runoff win nudges Bardella to 24.5% on Polymarket

Sunday’s initial ballot count showed Colombia’s Abelardo De La Espriella edging Ivan Cepeda 49.66% to 48.70%, highlighting how narrow margins can flip outcomes.

Goldman warns SE Asia food shock as Polymarket puts July Fed hold at 74%
Prediction Markets

Goldman warns SE Asia food shock as Polymarket puts July Fed hold at 74%

Goldman Sachs said rising oil and fertilizer costs plus a possible late-2026 El Nino could add 2.1 points to Southeast Asia food inflation over the next year.

Colombia swing right leaves Polymarket 2028 GOP nod steady with RFK Jr. at 49%
Prediction Markets

Colombia swing right leaves Polymarket 2028 GOP nod steady with RFK Jr. at 49%

An initial ballot count after Colombia’s June 22 runoff put nationalist newcomer Abelardo De La Espriella ahead, with the final verified tally nearly complete Monday.

U.S.-Iran talks ease tensions as Polymarket puts Starmer exit odds at 78.5%
Prediction Markets

U.S.-Iran talks ease tensions as Polymarket puts Starmer exit odds at 78.5%

Early Monday in Switzerland, high-level U.S.-Iran talks ended with mediators citing “encouraging progress” and a 60-day roadmap plus a direct hotline to prevent incidents in the Strait of Hormuz.

China widens curbs on U.S. firms as Polymarket Taiwan-invasion odds drop to 25%
Prediction Markets

China widens curbs on U.S. firms as Polymarket Taiwan-invasion odds drop to 25%

On Monday, China added dozens of U.S. entities to new export controls and procurement bans, citing retaliation for Washington’s Pentagon-linked listings.