US ELECTION PREDICTION MARKETS
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Polymarket: Le Pen 32% in 2027 French race, volume tops $114.8M
A Sunday-shows preview this week spotlighted renewed U.S. election-claim disputes and said the Iran war shows no sign of ending, shaping the macro political backdrop.
Polymarket odds: Lula jumps to 60.5% in Brazil race as $113.7M trades
After a Trump election-security speech sparked Democratic backlash over alleged false claims, attention turned again to how election-integrity rhetoric shapes politics.
Polymarket odds lift Le Pen to 33% in 2027 French election market
A new poll shows Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms leading Republican Rick Jackson in Georgia’s open-seat governor’s race as turnout and crossover voting loom large.
Polymarket: Le Pen jumps to 33% in France 2027 race, volume tops $114M
A report said several major U.S. broadcasters didn’t air President Donald Trump’s prime-time election-security address on their main platforms, prompting threats of sanctions and license revocations.
Polymarket odds put Lula at 60.5% in Brazil 2026 race after +11pp move
A political handicapper revised ratings in two U.S. House races, nudging a California seat toward Democrats and a Maine seat toward Republicans.
Polymarket odds: Le Pen leads French 2027 race at 32% as consensus weakens
On Monday, Jeffries dismissed Trump’s talk of Chinese election interference as baseless, adding to a broader election-integrity news cycle.
Polymarket: Newsom slips to 20.65% in 2028 Dem nominee market
A newly published commentary warns Donald Trump could endanger U.S. democracy through alleged election-rigging efforts, amplifying election-integrity anxieties.
Polymarket prices Le Pen at 31.75% in 2027 France race as field stays split
A feed headline says Donald Trump is expected to speak about “free and fair elections,” spotlighting election-integrity themes.
Polymarket boosts Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race after Trump tariff shock
A report said Trump imposed 25% tariffs on Brazilian goods, injecting a new macro shock into Brazil’s outlook.
Polymarket odds: Newsom slips to 19.95% in 2028 Dem nominee market
On July 15, 2026, a report said Chicago is competing to keep the James Beard awards past 2028.
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Polymarket odds: Lula leads Brazil 2026 race at 61.5% after 12pp jump
A report says Joe Biden plans to release a post-midterm memoir titled “Promise Me, America.” With attention briefly shifting, Polymarket traders still see a wide gap in Brazil’s 2026 race, pricing
Polymarket odds: Newsom leads 2028 Dem nominee at 20% as DDHQ outlook hits
A fresh DDHQ forecast calls for Democrats to win the House while the Senate sits 50-50 in November.
Polymarket odds put Farage at 96% in Clacton by-election market
After an ICE agent fatally shot Colombian national Joan Sebastián Guerrero in Maine, a fundraiser has raised nearly $300,000 and ICE reportedly paused most vehicle stops amid the investigation.
Polymarket: Le Pen odds jump to 31% in 2027 France race on $112M volume
A U.S. midterms poll analysis says “double haters” are breaking toward Democrats ahead of November, despite the usual backlash against the White House party.
Polymarket odds put Farage at 94.5% in Clacton by-election market
A report says a Russia sanctions bill could advance in Congress, with lawmakers eyeing the next procedural steps to honor Graham.