US ELECTION PREDICTION MARKETS
2028 Race Shifts as JD Vance Leads Polymarket Odds despite Market Volatility
In the Maine Senate volatility unfolded as polls spot shifting candidate dynamics in 2026 cycle, with cross-party considerations shaping perceptions of which party may prevail.
Trump's Presidency in Doubt as June 30 Deadline Looms
Texas poll dynamics show Democratic gains and rising turnout in key counties as June 30 looms.
Israel PM odds edge toward Netanyahu as Polymarket shows hedged outlook
On [date], Polymarket traders price Netanyahu ahead of the Israel PM race, with Yes odds around 36% and No near 64%, reflecting a hedged outlook as volume centers on the leading name and long-tail
Leading Polymarket bets pin GOP-leaning odds on Newsom in 2028 race
In early 2028, Polymarket traders price Gavin Newsom at 23.25% while the No side sits at 76.75% for the Democratic presidential nomination.
Russia election odds favor United Russia as traders hedge cross-asset
On June 2026, Alaska polls spotlight Democrat Mary Peltola as the top challenger in a close U.S. Senate race.
France 2027 Presidential Bet Boosts Bardella Odds While Market Remains Open
In the 2027 French presidential race, polls keep shifting as markets stay active with several candidates in contention.
Branding Decision at Kennedy Center Prompts Trading Shift on 2028 Nomination
On June 12, 2026, the Kennedy Center signaled a forthcoming decision on Trump’s name as branding questions and legal considerations unfold, potentially affecting public events and sponsorships.
Israel PM odds rise as Netanyahu leads Polymarket bet amid Swiss Brexit buzz
The Swiss vote drew global attention and prompted volatility in markets as analysts weighed policy spillovers; traders filed bets on Israel’s next prime minister, with Netanyahu at 36.5% and a high
Peru Runoff Narrow Victory: Polymarket Odds Signal Narrow Margin
On June 9, Peru’s runoff remained a tight contest as voting data drips in.
Peru 2nd Round: Narrow Fujimori Lead Drives Sub-0.5% Margin Bets
Trump tells Thune to fire the Parliamentarian, raising tensions amid a high-stakes U.S. confrontation and funding the political risk spectrum on June 8, 2026.
Russia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%
On [date], Polymarket traders watch United Russia hold the lead around 54.5% as markets price the top outcome. Investors care because odds on ER vs.
Trump unlikely to exit by June 30, Polymarket odds swing side
Bitcoin fell below $60,000 in a fresh dip on the crypto slide, as risk appetite cooled and liquidity shifted across digital assets.
Peru 2nd Round Bet Focus Narrows to Fujimori Narrow Victory
In early June 2026, Moomoo and Kalshi launched CFTC-regulated event contracts across economics, elections, and sports.
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Burnham Favored in Makerfield By-Election as Markets React to Rising Odds
On June 3, South Korea’s local elections produced a sweeping ruling-party showing but Seoul’s mayoralty loss tempered momentum for President Lee Jae Myung.
Crypto PACs Shape Bets on Peru’s 2026 Race
In early June, crypto-focused PACs boosted ad spending ahead of California primaries and Maryland’s late June contest, per FEC filings.
