US ELECTION PREDICTION MARKETS
Newsom fights billionaire tax ballot as Polymarket prices Shepherd loss at 99%
Reports this week say Gov. Gavin Newsom is trying to stop a proposed California billionaire tax from qualifying for the November ballot before the June 25 deadline.
$9M Polymarket World Cup win spotlights French race, Bardella steady at 25.5%
A new Polymarket wallet, “fishalive,” turned about $4 million into roughly $9 million after Cabo Verde held Spain to a 0-0 draw, with the match generating around $64 million in volume.
Reuters/Ipsos poll flags democracy fears as Polymarket fades Shepherd to 1%
A four-day Reuters/Ipsos poll ending Monday found 38% of Americans doubt the U.S. will remain a single country in 250 years, and two-thirds say democracy is in danger.
Havering shelves 'Hexit' as Polymarket keeps Bardella atop 2027 race at 25.5%
After Reform UK seized Havering in May, council leader Keith Prince ruled out pursuing “Hexit,” citing a £70 million budget gap and warning residents could end up worse off.
Unison chief warns Labour drift as Polymarket prices Shepherd loss at 99%
Ahead of her first Unison conference, new leader Andrea Egan warned Labour must change course “drastically” or risk empowering Reform UK.
Alaska blocks 'Dan J Sullivan' bid as Polymarket puts Fujimori 0.2–0.3% at 95%
Alaska’s elections director ruled retired schoolteacher Dan J Sullivan can’t appear on the August primary ballot, saying his filing looked designed to mislead voters; he has 30 days to appeal.
Alaska blocks Dan Sullivan namesake as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%
On Monday, Alaska elections director Carol Beecher barred a U.S.
US-Iran truce chatter lifts risk mood as Polymarket puts Burnham at 79%
Iran’s deputy foreign minister said a deal was reached with the US to halt the war, with signatures expected Friday, easing pressure on oil and rate fears.
Regulatory Strikes on Crypto Coincide With France Election Odds Dip
On [date], Philippines regulators unveiled tighter rules for crypto listings and a ban on privacy coins, tightening scrutiny amid broader market volatility.
Trump odds stay No as June 30 looms, Polymarket buyers stay wary
On 6/15/2026, a US-Iran deal update spurred a broad rally in Asian stocks as traders weigh policy signals ahead of June 30.
Rising odds tilt to ruling party candidate in Israel PM market
World markets note rising odds for the leading Israeli PM candidate as coalition talks unfold ahead of the election.
RFK Jr. Leads Polymarket Odds as 2028 GOP Nomination Market Heats Up
On a day when RFK Jr. leads the Polymarket pool, the market shows leading_outcome odds around 49% for RFK Jr.
Trump Odds Drift as Markets Await 2028 Election Settlement
Bitcoin neared $65,844 as the Iran-US deal eased energy fears on [date], lifting risk assets and prompting Polymarket traders to adjust pricing around the 2028 election.
Barron’s data shift nudges Polymarket odds as 2028 race stays lively
Polymarket’s 2028 presidential contracts see brisk turnover after Barron’s data previews this week.
No Move on Trump Exit by June 30 Gains Ground Despite High Polymarket Odds
On June 30, regulators warned 500+ hospitals to disclose public pricing or face penalties, AP reports.
