POLYMARKET
World Cup prediction betting surges as Polymarket keeps Spain "Other" at 50%
About 11 days into the tournament, data showed $5.4 billion wagered on World Cup prediction markets, with Kalshi at $2.9 billion and Polymarket at $2.5 billion since last July.
IBM touts $4.5B AI savings as Polymarket keeps Anthropic at 83.5%
Over the past three years, IBM said its “client zero” AI-and-automation program cut $4.5 billion in spending by applying the tools to its own operations.
Restore Britain taps Marlon West as Bardella slips to 24.5% on Polymarket
Restore Britain on Monday named Marlon West as its Greater Manchester mayoral candidate ahead of the 30 July vote triggered by Andy Burnham’s move to Parliament.
Ras Laffan blast spotlights Gulf shipping as Polymarket puts 20+ Hormuz at 99%
Sunday night’s explosion at Qatar’s Ras Laffan gas facility killed at least 13 and injured 66, though officials said exports won’t be affected and called it an accident.
Vance cites Iran progress; Polymarket puts Hormuz normal-traffic at 48.5%
In Bürgenstock, Switzerland, U.S.
Schwab–Cboe prediction push as Polymarket puts Newsom at 23.1%
A June 20 report said Charles Schwab is working with Cboe on prediction-style, yes-or-no contracts for brokerage accounts, including S&P 500 level outcomes.
Bitcoin hovers near $62K as Polymarket puts 99% odds on $56K floor
Since midnight UTC, bitcoin rose 1.4% to about $62,450 as easing oil prices and Iran-U.S. deal hopes lifted risk sentiment, though analysts warn a break could target $54,000.
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Starmer resigns as Polymarket tilts Mexico to 50.5% vs Czechia
On Monday, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer said he will resign and remain as caretaker until Labour picks a new leader, as Andy Burnham emerges as front-runner.
Bitcoin holds near $64.5K as ETF outflows persist, Polymarket sees $62K at 74%
On June 22, Bitcoin hovered near $64,500, up about 0.6% in 24 hours, as spot Bitcoin ETF outflows extended to a sixth straight week and momentum stayed fragile.
Colombia’s razor-thin runoff win nudges Bardella to 24.5% on Polymarket
Sunday’s initial ballot count showed Colombia’s Abelardo De La Espriella edging Ivan Cepeda 49.66% to 48.70%, highlighting how narrow margins can flip outcomes.
Colombia swing right leaves Polymarket 2028 GOP nod steady with RFK Jr. at 49%
An initial ballot count after Colombia’s June 22 runoff put nationalist newcomer Abelardo De La Espriella ahead, with the final verified tally nearly complete Monday.
U.S.-Iran talks ease tensions as Polymarket puts Starmer exit odds at 78.5%
Early Monday in Switzerland, high-level U.S.-Iran talks ended with mediators citing “encouraging progress” and a 60-day roadmap plus a direct hotline to prevent incidents in the Strait of Hormuz.
Hormuz blockade shock lifts Becerra to 89% on Polymarket California gov race
After a U.S.
Trump-backed Colombian runoff lead meets Polymarket’s 2028 Vance 20% edge
With over 99% of ballots counted, Abelardo de la Espriella led Colombia’s presidential runoff 49.7% to 48.7% as Iván Cepeda refused to concede pending official verification.
Oil slips on US-Iran talk progress as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 79%
Brent crude slid 1.85% to $79.08 by 2:40 p.m. Singapore time after mediators said Washington and Tehran agreed to a 60-day roadmap toward a final deal.
