POLYMARKET
June 26 Bitcoin options expiry looms as Polymarket puts 56K at 99.75%
More than $10 billion in Bitcoin options are set to expire on June 26, putting dealer hedging and key strike levels in focus as spot hovers near $65,000.
JPMAM flags midyear rebound; Polymarket puts July Fed hold odds at 74%
In its 2026 midyear outlook, JPMorgan Asset Management told investors to stay in stocks for the second half, citing AI-driven growth and resilient consumers despite lingering inflation.
World Cup nostalgia essay hits as Polymarket keeps Newsom atop 2028 Dem odds
On June 21, 2026, an essay traced how a nearly six-year-old’s new obsession with the World Cup reshaped family routines, blending sticker books with YouTube highlights.
Trump AI export order jolts Polymarket, Starmer exit odds jump to 84.5%
Anthropic took its newest AI models, Fable 5 and Mythos 5, offline after a Trump administration export control order, as questions mount over security claims and guardrail bypass reports.
US-Iran talks raise Israel focus as Polymarket puts Eizenkot at 37%
On June 21 at Switzerland’s Burgenstock resort, JD Vance began what he called historic US-Iran talks as Trump warned of strikes if Iran doesn’t curb proxies in Lebanon.
Israeli poll boosts Iran regime-fall odds to 35% on Polymarket
On June 21, a Hebrew University and Agam Institute poll found 92.1% of Israelis think Iran gained more from the war and US deal.
Stokes set for 3rd Test return as Polymarket puts 5+ World Cup misses at 61%
After an ECB disciplinary hearing, Ben Stokes and Gus Atkinson were named in England’s squad for the third Test vs New Zealand at Trent Bridge, following suspensions for a curfew breach.
Rep. Bryan Steil Targets Insider Trading in Prediction Markets with New Bill
Rep. Bryan Steil proposes a bill banning Congress members from policy-related bets on prediction markets, sparking debate over White House exclusion.
Bitbank Warns Users Over Polymarket, Cites Legal Risks
Bitbank warns Japanese users of potential account suspensions linked to Polymarket, raising questions about prediction market legality under local gambling laws.
CFTC Proposes New Rules for Sports Prediction Markets
The CFTC's proposal could legitimize sports prediction markets while clarifying election contract regulations. Public comments open for 90 days.
Prediction Markets Need Balanced Insider Trading Rules, Study Says
New research suggests optimal enforcement of insider trading in prediction markets lies between extremes, as lawmakers and regulators target violations.
South Korea Investigates Polymarket Users for Illegal Gambling
South Korean police probe Polymarket users for alleged illegal gambling, marking the first enforcement action against decentralized prediction markets in the country.
Polymarket Resolves Bitcoin Sale Dispute to 'No,' $80M in Bets at Stake
Polymarket ruled against MicroStrategy Bitcoin sale claims, sparking criticism of UMA's token-weighted dispute system. $80M in bets impacted.
US Democrats Seek FTC Probe Into Prediction Markets
Nine House Democrats urge FTC to investigate prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket for alleged deceptive practices and regulatory evasion.
Bitcoin Sale by Strategy Triggers $80M Polymarket Dispute
Strategy's Bitcoin sale sparks controversy on Polymarket, affecting $80M in wagers. A final resolution is expected by June 2.
