DONALD TRUMP PREDICTION MARKETS

Polymarket prices Starmer at 99.45% to be next leader out before 2027
Donald Trump Prediction Markets

Polymarket prices Starmer at 99.45% to be next leader out before 2027

An expert commentary warns Trump’s rhetoric may undermine public trust more than voting-machine flaws, highlighting how perceived threats can warp election confidence.

Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.75% as Trump Iran report fails to lift odds
Donald Trump Prediction Markets

Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.75% as Trump Iran report fails to lift odds

A new report says Donald Trump is targeting Iran’s infrastructure to squeeze the regime, fueling fresh political narratives that can echo into 2028 expectations.

Polymarket prices Starmer at 99% to be next leader out before 2027
Donald Trump Prediction Markets

Polymarket prices Starmer at 99% to be next leader out before 2027

A full-length political video shows Maine Democrats hosting a forum with eight candidates to replace Graham Platner, offering campaign context rather than a single trigger.

Polymarket holds steady in 2028 GOP nominee market as Trump approval ticks up
Donald Trump Prediction Markets

Polymarket holds steady in 2028 GOP nominee market as Trump approval ticks up

A July 6–14, 2026 Napolitan News Service poll of 2,000 registered voters put President Donald Trump’s net job approval at -9 (44% approve, 53% disapprove), his best in about three months.

Polymarket odds: Trump out by July 31 seen as long shot despite endorsement
Donald Trump Prediction Markets

Polymarket odds: Trump out by July 31 seen as long shot despite endorsement

A report said Donald Trump backed Lindsey Graham’s sister in a Republican Senate primary, highlighting GOP endorsement maneuvering.

Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as DHS enforcement story hits
Donald Trump Prediction Markets

Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as DHS enforcement story hits

A report says the DHS secretary is threatening fines and even prison time for election officials who don’t comply, sharpening enforcement risks around election administration.

Polymarket odds keep Starmer exit near 99% as Trump outcome stays at 0.15%
Donald Trump Prediction Markets

Polymarket odds keep Starmer exit near 99% as Trump outcome stays at 0.15%

A new political commentary argues Donald Trump’s election-focused posture could backfire in the midterms.

Polymarket odds: Vance 19.85% in 2028 race as China denies Trump claim
Donald Trump Prediction Markets

Polymarket odds: Vance 19.85% in 2028 race as China denies Trump claim

China has rejected Donald Trump’s claim of election interference, calling it “groundless accusations.” Polymarket traders are watching whether the dispute reshapes 2028 expectations, where JD Vance

Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49% for 2028 GOP nod despite Trump fraud claims
Donald Trump Prediction Markets

Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49% for 2028 GOP nod despite Trump fraud claims

A fresh headline spotlights Donald Trump alleging a vast conspiracy to commit and cover up election fraud, stirring attention without signaling a new campaign move.

Polymarket prices Starmer at 99% as next leader out before 2027
Donald Trump Prediction Markets

Polymarket prices Starmer at 99% as next leader out before 2027

A report says Donald Trump threatened TV broadcast licenses after some networks skipped a speech, escalating pressure tied to coverage decisions.

Polymarket prices Trump exit by July 31 at 0.55% amid election address
Donald Trump Prediction Markets

Polymarket prices Trump exit by July 31 at 0.55% amid election address

A primetime livestream address by Donald Trump, billed as election-focused, was scheduled ahead of Polymarket’s late-July cutoff.

Polymarket odds flat as RFK Jr. leads 2028 GOP nod at 49%
Donald Trump Prediction Markets

Polymarket odds flat as RFK Jr. leads 2028 GOP nod at 49%

A report says the U.S. is expected to host the Women’s World Cup in 2031, per a Trump official, adding a new visibility datapoint.

Polymarket odds: Vance leads 2028 field at 19.85% as Iran strikes continue
Donald Trump Prediction Markets

Polymarket odds: Vance leads 2028 field at 19.85% as Iran strikes continue

A report said the United States struck Iran for a sixth straight day, keeping geopolitical risk in focus even for long-dated politics.

Polymarket: Maduro rises to 80% in Venezuela leader 2026 market
Donald Trump Prediction Markets

Polymarket: Maduro rises to 80% in Venezuela leader 2026 market

A new report says a Trump-backed Arizona candidate is struggling in a House primary amid sex-scandal allegations.

Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49% for 2028 GOP nod despite Trump claim
Donald Trump Prediction Markets

Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49% for 2028 GOP nod despite Trump claim

MSNBC founder Tom Rogers argued in a new commentary that Donald Trump is laying groundwork to invoke emergency powers to overturn the 2026 midterms.