DONALD TRUMP PREDICTION MARKETS
Trump signature-currency report hits as Polymarket keeps Vance atop 20.35%
A report said Donald Trump and Scott Bessent previewed a new currency bearing Trump’s signature, adding to his stream of political-economic messaging.
Khamenei funeral spotlights Iran talks as Polymarket keeps Trump at 6.5%
Ceremonies for Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei run July 4–9, drawing millions and foreign delegations as Tehran warns against military action and Trump says the U.S.
America 250 report spotlights GOP gender gap as Polymarket puts Vance at 20%
Ahead of July 4 America 250 events, a new report says the celebrations are exposing a widening Republican gender gap in who shows up and how the party’s outreach is received.
Putin faces Ukraine war strain as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49% for 2028 GOP
A new report calls the Ukraine war a growing “crisis” for Vladimir Putin, saying pressure on the Kremlin is intensifying as the conflict drags on.
D.C. heat shuts state fair as Polymarket pegs Starmer exit odds at 97%
On Friday, organizers shut Washington, D.C.’s Great American State Fair until 5 p.m. after 11 visitors were hospitalized amid triple-digit heat.
Trump cases update moves 2028 bets as Polymarket keeps Vance at 20%
A July 4, 2026 report says Donald Trump’s criminal cases remain a moving timeline, with multiple proceedings still unresolved and schedules uncertain.
Trump impeachment headline hits as Polymarket holds RFK Jr at 49% for GOP 2028
On July 4, a Politico post labeled “Trump Impeachment” put impeachment talk around former President Donald Trump back into the spotlight.
Trump’s Mount Rushmore speech lifts Polymarket to 97.45% on Starmer exit
On July 4 at Mount Rushmore, Donald Trump delivered an upbeat holiday address while warning of a Communist “enemy.” Polymarket traders are watching for political fallout as the “Next leader out of
Venezuela quake fallout hits US politics as Polymarket puts Starmer at 97.5%
After earthquakes struck Venezuela, a report said the fallout is widening divisions among U.S. Republicans over how to approach the country’s leadership, sharpening a hawks-vs-Trump-aligned rift.
Vance disclosure spotlights crypto as Polymarket keeps him at 20.55%
On July 3, JD Vance’s financial disclosure detailed book-related income and listed cryptocurrency holdings, renewing scrutiny as 2028 maneuvering ramps up.
Tehran funeral focus lifts Polymarket to 97% on Starmer leaving office by 2027
In Tehran, a top Iranian general was seen publicly as officials prepared a dayslong funeral for Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, sharpening attention on who could steer the transition.
Pritzker questions Trump’s fitness as Polymarket puts Starmer exit odds at 95.5%
Illinois Governor JB Pritzker said Donald Trump is “suffering from dementia,” amplifying scrutiny over leaders’ age and fitness as the 2026 cycle heats up.
Zelensky warns of major Russia strike as Polymarket holds RFK Jr at 49%
On Monday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky warned Russia is preparing a massive strike on Ukraine, raising fears of escalation.
Vance floats AOC for 2028 as Polymarket puts Starmer exit odds at 94.5%
In a recent interview, Vice President JD Vance said Rep.
Birthright citizenship case stirs 2028 buzz as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%
A commentary circulating July 1 blasted a court’s 5-4 birthright citizenship vote as a “scandal,” arguing it could reshape immigration and constitutional debates.
