DONALD TRUMP PREDICTION MARKETS
Venezuela quake fallout hits US politics as Polymarket puts Starmer at 97.5%
After earthquakes struck Venezuela, a report said the fallout is widening divisions among U.S. Republicans over how to approach the country’s leadership, sharpening a hawks-vs-Trump-aligned rift.
Vance disclosure spotlights crypto as Polymarket keeps him at 20.55%
On July 3, JD Vance’s financial disclosure detailed book-related income and listed cryptocurrency holdings, renewing scrutiny as 2028 maneuvering ramps up.
Tehran funeral focus lifts Polymarket to 97% on Starmer leaving office by 2027
In Tehran, a top Iranian general was seen publicly as officials prepared a dayslong funeral for Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, sharpening attention on who could steer the transition.
Pritzker questions Trump’s fitness as Polymarket puts Starmer exit odds at 95.5%
Illinois Governor JB Pritzker said Donald Trump is “suffering from dementia,” amplifying scrutiny over leaders’ age and fitness as the 2026 cycle heats up.
Zelensky warns of major Russia strike as Polymarket holds RFK Jr at 49%
On Monday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky warned Russia is preparing a massive strike on Ukraine, raising fears of escalation.
Vance floats AOC for 2028 as Polymarket puts Starmer exit odds at 94.5%
In a recent interview, Vice President JD Vance said Rep.
Birthright citizenship case stirs 2028 buzz as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%
A commentary circulating July 1 blasted a court’s 5-4 birthright citizenship vote as a “scandal,” arguing it could reshape immigration and constitutional debates.
Moskowitz poll stirs 2028 chatter as Polymarket prices Vance at 19.85%
A new survey shows Rep. Jared Moskowitz up 32 points in Florida’s 25th District Democratic primary, an early signal of intraparty strength ahead of voting.
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%
In Colorado’s Democratic primary for secretary of state, progressive Gonzalez beat Danielson to win the party nomination.
Trump crypto sale report as Polymarket 2028 stays Vance-led at 19.75%
A June 30 report says Donald Trump disclosed more than $500 million in proceeds from a crypto sale.
Colorado primaries spotlight risk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit odds at 93.5%
On 2026-06-30, a live broadcast tracked Colorado primary results in real time, framing the races as an early test of political momentum.
Supreme Court spurns Trump Carroll appeal as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%
On Monday, the Supreme Court declined to hear Donald Trump’s appeal in the E. Jean Carroll case, leaving the lower-court ruling intact.
DOJ probes Gallego as Polymarket keeps Vance atop 2028 odds at 19.55%
The Justice Department is investigating Gallego for potential campaign finance violations, raising fresh uncertainty around a prominent Democrat as the 2028 field takes shape.
Ossoff hits Trump priorities as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49% for 2028 GOP
On Monday, Sen. Jon Ossoff accused Donald Trump of chasing self-enrichment and vanity projects over easing Americans’ economic pain.
Qatar Iran talks spotlight Trump world as Polymarket holds RFK Jr at 49%
Trump administration officials are traveling to Qatar for Iran-related talks, highlighting how Gulf diplomacy may shape US politics.