DONALD TRUMP PREDICTION MARKETS
US-Iran strike pause shifts 2028 betting, Polymarket puts Vance at 19.25%
A U.S. official said Washington and Tehran agreed to halt strikes and meet this week, signaling a near-term push to cool tensions.
Ceasefire-collapse report hits Polymarket as Trump Iran-entry odds slide
A new report warned the U.S.-Iran ceasefire could still fail, casting doubt on how long the current pause in hostilities lasts.
Murphy pushes $25 minimum wage as Polymarket prices Vance at 19% for 2028
On Sunday, Sen. Chris Murphy said a $25 federal minimum wage could help Democrats win back working-class voters, backing his Living Wage for All Act to phase it in over years.
Iran attacks widen conflict as Polymarket cuts Trump Iran-entry odds to 10%
After U.S. strikes, Iran reportedly attacked Bahrain and Kuwait and warned it could halt talks to end the war, widening the conflict ahead of the June 30 deadline.
Supreme Court week spotlights Trump power as Polymarket keeps Vance at 19.25%
In the coming week, the Supreme Court is set for a compressed run of major decisions that could define the limits on presidential authority and checks on executive power.
Louisiana report spotlights Trump’s grip as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%
Recent moves in Louisiana are portrayed as cementing Donald Trump’s dominance in state Republican politics, leaving rivals with little leverage.
U.S. hits Iran again as Trump vows escalation, Polymarket keeps him at 1.65%
On June 28, 2026, a report said the United States launched fresh strikes on Iran as Donald Trump warned he would “complete the job,” raising uncertainty.
Letlow primary win shifts Iran-entry market as Polymarket puts Senators at 55%
Trump-backed Letlow won the Republican primary for Sen. Bill Cassidy’s U.S. Senate seat, reinforcing Trump’s sway in GOP nominations and keeping Capitol Hill in focus.
US strikes Iran as Polymarket odds peg Starmer exit before 2027 at 90.5%
On the second straight day of attacks, the U.S. military said it struck multiple targets in Iran as a ceasefire came under strain.
Report on Trump-era civil rights cuts lifts Polymarket Vance to 19.25%
A new report found Trump-era civil rights cutbacks are pushing student-rights disputes into uneven state rules, agencies, and courts as federal enforcement recedes.
Gulf security flares pull Polymarket odds to 75% on U.S. House trip to Iran
After U.S. airstrikes, Iranian drones reportedly hit Bahrain and a ship was struck in the strait, adding fresh escalation risk around Gulf routes.
Maher–Vance clash spotlights Trump fraud claims as Polymarket keeps Vance at 19%
Bill Maher confronted JD Vance over Donald Trump’s 2020 election-fraud claims, urging him to stop amplifying the rhetoric.
GOP Senate primary tests Trump’s sway as Polymarket keeps RFK Jr. at 49%
In a new report, a Republican Senate hopeful tries to outflank a Trump-backed rival by leaning harder into MAGA priorities, testing whether endorsements still decide primaries.
US strikes put Iran trips in focus as Polymarket pegs Trump at 5%
On the same day the United States carried out new strikes involving Iran, Iran’s national team stayed in contention for a World Cup berth amid rising tensions.
Trump attacks ex-NSA aide after plea as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 91.5%
After a former national security adviser pleaded guilty, Donald Trump publicly denounced him and urged harsh punishment, intensifying attention on legal fallout from his orbit.
