DONALD TRUMP PREDICTION MARKETS
Trump targets Fed Gov Cook as Polymarket puts Starmer exit odds at 91.5%
After a Supreme Court decision, Donald Trump renewed calls to force Fed Governor Lisa Cook off the Board, reviving debate over presidential power and central-bank independence.
After SCOTUS mail vote loss, Trump pushes SAVE Act as Vance holds 19.4%
Donald Trump is pressing ahead with the SAVE America Act after a Supreme Court setback tied to mail voting, keeping election rules central to his messaging.
Supreme Court rebuff hits Trump as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%
On Monday, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected Donald Trump’s bid to overturn the $5 million E. Jean Carroll verdict, leaving the civil judgment intact.
Ross impeachment warning hits Polymarket as Starmer exit odds rise to 91.5%
Former Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said Democrats would move to impeach Donald Trump if they win the U.S. House in November, raising the stakes for the midterms.
Disney license pressure campaign stirs 2028 chatter as Vance leads Polymarket
Pro-Trump groups are preparing to press Brendan Carr to pursue actions that could strip Disney’s TV licenses, escalating the campaign-era fight over media regulation.
Fetterman–McCormick dodge Shapiro as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 91.5%
At a Pennsylvania “Great American State Fair” booth, senators John Fetterman and Dave McCormick shared a stop while sidestepping questions about Gov. Josh Shapiro.
Hegseth Pentagon firings spur Hill scrutiny as Polymarket stays at 49%
Congress is pressing Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth for answers after a wave of senior Pentagon firings, including Gen. Chris Donahue, raised bipartisan worries about wartime decision-making.
US-Iran strike pause shifts 2028 betting, Polymarket puts Vance at 19.25%
A U.S. official said Washington and Tehran agreed to halt strikes and meet this week, signaling a near-term push to cool tensions.
Ceasefire-collapse report hits Polymarket as Trump Iran-entry odds slide
A new report warned the U.S.-Iran ceasefire could still fail, casting doubt on how long the current pause in hostilities lasts.
Murphy pushes $25 minimum wage as Polymarket prices Vance at 19% for 2028
On Sunday, Sen. Chris Murphy said a $25 federal minimum wage could help Democrats win back working-class voters, backing his Living Wage for All Act to phase it in over years.
Iran attacks widen conflict as Polymarket cuts Trump Iran-entry odds to 10%
After U.S. strikes, Iran reportedly attacked Bahrain and Kuwait and warned it could halt talks to end the war, widening the conflict ahead of the June 30 deadline.
Supreme Court week spotlights Trump power as Polymarket keeps Vance at 19.25%
In the coming week, the Supreme Court is set for a compressed run of major decisions that could define the limits on presidential authority and checks on executive power.
Louisiana report spotlights Trump’s grip as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%
Recent moves in Louisiana are portrayed as cementing Donald Trump’s dominance in state Republican politics, leaving rivals with little leverage.
U.S. hits Iran again as Trump vows escalation, Polymarket keeps him at 1.65%
On June 28, 2026, a report said the United States launched fresh strikes on Iran as Donald Trump warned he would “complete the job,” raising uncertainty.
Letlow primary win shifts Iran-entry market as Polymarket puts Senators at 55%
Trump-backed Letlow won the Republican primary for Sen. Bill Cassidy’s U.S. Senate seat, reinforcing Trump’s sway in GOP nominations and keeping Capitol Hill in focus.